Over the last decade, there has been an ongoing fundamental debate about markets and valuations. The bulls have long rationalized that low rates and increased liquidity justify overpaying for the...
The latest consumer survey data from the New York Federal Reserve had interesting data.
“The New York Fed’s latest consumer survey found that expectations that stocks will be higher in the next 12...
Recently, James Grant, editor of the Interest Rate Observer, was asked about his outlook for interest rates. He sees interest rates moving in a cyclical pattern, potentially rising for another...
More than a few individuals were active in the markets in 1999-2000, but many participants today were not. I remember looking at charts and writing about the craziness in markets as the fears of...
It is always interesting when commodity prices rise. The market produces various narratives to suggest why prices will keep growing indefinitely. Such applies to all commodities, from oil to orange...
In 2022, we discussed the market’s deviations from long-term growth trends. That discussion centered on Jeremy Grantham’s commentary about market bubbles. To wit:
“All 2-sigma equity bubbles in...
The future of electricity demand for everything from electric cars to Bitcoin mining to artificial intelligence may also be the cure for our debt concerns.
Before you dismiss that statement, let me...
Corporate greed is not causing inflation, despite the claims of many on the political left who failed to understand the very basics of economic supply and demand.
“If you take a look at what people...
As we discussed recently, Wall Street economists increasingly believe the risk of recession has fallen sharply. To wit:
“Economists don’t think the economy will get even close to a recession. In...
During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking. That is comparing their portfolio’s performance against a major index—most often, the S&P 500 index. While that...