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Itas Taka

Joined: 19/03/20


Comments by Itas Taka
S&P 500 Futures Dec 15, 2021 15:32
wow,, this is doing good ! I was focused in BTC should have been here
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 15:30
lol,, that was one damp snapback for records ! Lets see if it drops with JPs limp drop
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 14:06
30 billion taper is fine,, 3-4 interest rate increases is also as expected ! Waiting for JP to open his mouth ! Normally, markets goes up before he talks and sells off when he finishes
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 14:01
3-4 rate hikes in 2022... Yikes
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 12:51
If FED even mentions 'interest rates' ,, then it might be wise to just RUN! I think we will see some of the best snapbacks of this year
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 6:46
 ,, I am no expert, but i see in FEDs web site, for Dec re-purchase period (which ends in mid Dec) FOMC directed 'limits' were SOMA holdings at billion and agency MBS (includes TIPS) at billion ! So you are correct ! it's likely (if true) 30B/period reduction from mid Dec to mid Mar and it's my bad for remembering figures in round number ;) However, question was, do you trust GS to give unbiased analysis? ,, I am no expert, but i see in FEDs web site, for Dec re-purchase period (which ends in mid Dec) FOMC directed 'limits' were SOMA holdings at $60 billion and agency MBS (includes TIPS) at $30 billion ! So you are correct ! it's likely (if true) 30B/period reduction from mid Dec to mid Mar and it's my bad for remembering figures in round number ;) However, question was, do you trust GS to give unbiased analysis?
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 0:26
 ,, so, as per GS, FED may want to send an uncharacteristic stronger message tomorrow, to cool down demand quickly and stamp out potential double digit inflation ,, so, as per GS, FED may want to send an uncharacteristic stronger message tomorrow, to cool down demand quickly and stamp out potential double digit inflation
Bitcoin Dec 15, 2021 0:17
 ,, Depends on how much you trust GS ! It's difficult to forget 2008 when the bank took up position against their own advice to their clients ! So GS might be up to their old tricks again ! However, it seems after over 6% CPI number came the just under 10% increase for wholesale prices for the month of Nov ! Unverified report say, what freaked FED is that preliminary tracking for Dec wholesale prices was now predicting over 10% increase for Dec ! ,, Depends on how much you trust GS ! It's difficult to forget 2008 when the bank took up position against their own advice to their clients ! So GS might be up to their old tricks again ! However, it seems after over 6% CPI number came the just under 10% increase for wholesale prices for the month of Nov ! Unverified report say, what freaked FED is that preliminary tracking for Dec wholesale prices was now predicting over 10% increase for Dec !
Bitcoin Dec 14, 2021 20:29
GS prediction,, Tapering to increase to $50 billion/month  in Jan/Feb ! Then rate increases in May/Jul and Nov ! If true, we have our crash already cooked, ready to eat for mass public diarrhea
Bitcoin Dec 14, 2021 17:59
I've said this before but worth repeating again,,,,Crypto will lead stocks in this crash, but then will stop and consolidate while stocks continue to drop !  However, I am sure, just like last time, everyone will disagree,,,  ;)
Bitcoin Dec 14, 2021 17:52
 ,, I hope not, but you are very likely correct ,, I hope not, but you are very likely correct
Bitcoin Dec 14, 2021 17:46
lol,, what set this off???
Bitcoin Dec 14, 2021 10:16
Today it may hang around 200 DMA till 2pm tomorrows FOMC rate projection ,,, unless, JP leaks some tips to the favored few,, you know who if you watch headlines ;)  If JP come out little more interest rate hawkish, then 42,5K may hit our face soon after
Bitcoin Dec 13, 2021 23:03
In first glance this looks really bad ! But it's still doing Bumpity Bump Bum bum ,, in descending triangle ! Also 200 DMA was still holding at the time of this comment ! So, I guess, as usual it's at a significant level while waiting for FED's talk about interest rates
Bitcoin Dec 11, 2021 14:08
Leverage, Derivatives,, i guess next thing to watch is Shorts ! Moving with SnP may be getting frustrating
Bitcoin Dec 11, 2021 11:35
'Paper BTC',,, that is what is pouring into market in billions !
Bitcoin Dec 11, 2021 11:25
 ,, lower highs, all DMA pointed steeply down, narrowing variance from 200 DMA, Candles making a bearish descending triangle pattern with daily volume falling, clearly below the long term trend line,, lol ,, it's really tough to remain optimistic so best to grab first good sign and hope for best ! It does not mean, not to prepare for worse ,, lower highs, all DMA pointed steeply down, narrowing variance from 200 DMA, Candles making a bearish descending triangle pattern with daily volume falling, clearly below the long term trend line,, lol ,, it's really tough to remain optimistic so best to grab first good sign and hope for best ! It does not mean, not to prepare for worse
Bitcoin Dec 10, 2021 15:39
47,4K may be the support level confirmed by double bottom ! 42,7K order may go unfilled again ,,, not that I am complaining ! S&P is where this money may be coming out of, if this holds
S&P 500 Futures Dec 09, 2021 20:55
 Google these keywords "fredblog stlouisfed 2017 02 slow-labor-productivity-growth utm_source=series_page utm_medium=related_content utm_term=related_resources utm_campaign=fredblog"  ,,,, Then use the measure tags at the bottom of the chart to see from 1960 ( or earlier) on how close productivity is tired to recessions Google these keywords "fredblog stlouisfed 2017 02 slow-labor-productivity-growth utm_source=series_page utm_medium=related_content utm_term=related_resources utm_campaign=fredblog"  ,,,, Then use the measure tags at the bottom of the chart to see from 1960 ( or earlier) on how close productivity is tired to recessions
S&P 500 Futures Dec 09, 2021 20:38
 ,, :) ,, :)
Bitcoin Dec 09, 2021 19:33
Well, CME (ie source of USAs BTC/ETH ETF's instruments) itself has already started hitting $10 billion in daily crypto derivatives volumes ! So, if CME acts in consortium with a few crypto custodian/dealer banks, this massive figure can become lot higher still ! Also CMEs reputation (in manipulation) is highly questioned internationally ! Yep,, this story may end like GLDs sob story,, since the principle actors are the same
S&P 500 Futures Dec 09, 2021 19:05
 ,, in Short,, actual labor shortage results in 'increase in labor productivity' ! However, current non-farm labor productivity is lowest in years ,, in Short,, actual labor shortage results in 'increase in labor productivity' ! However, current non-farm labor productivity is lowest in years
S&P 500 Futures Dec 09, 2021 19:00
 ,, 4,2% may be explained by lower participation rate (ie cause people stopped looking) ! Regards 11 million jobs, it's cause employers kept the job positions open in expectation of economic rebound,, BUT did not make effort to fill that vacancy ! This is explained by 1) Low non-farm payroll number along with more important , 2) the Lower productivity rate ! Reality is, business did not rebound to the expected level and even the existing labor force did not have enough work, resulting in lower productivity rate ! In fact current low non-farm productivity rate has almost Always been followed by economic recession immediately afterwards ! ,, 4,2% may be explained by lower participation rate (ie cause people stopped looking) ! Regards 11 million jobs, it's cause employers kept the job positions open in expectation of economic rebound,, BUT did not make effort to fill that vacancy ! This is explained by 1) Low non-farm payroll number along with more important , 2) the Lower productivity rate ! Reality is, business did not rebound to the expected level and even the existing labor force did not have enough work, resulting in lower productivity rate ! In fact current low non-farm productivity rate has almost Always been followed by economic recession immediately afterwards !
Bitcoin Dec 09, 2021 16:21
This hodler gonna buy more near 42,5K and I think lots of us are waiting at that spot
Bitcoin Dec 09, 2021 16:18
lol