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Oil rises 1% on Trump's optimism for a deal with China

Published 2019-12-12, 11:40 a/m
Updated 2019-12-12, 04:34 p/m
© Reuters.  Oil rises 1% on Trump's optimism for a deal with China

* Trump tweets 'Getting VERY close to a BIG DEAL with China'

* Oil market oversupply set to stay despite OPEC+ pact -IEA

* OPEC sees small 2020 oil deficit even before latest supply cut

By Stephanie Kelly

NEW YORK, Dec 12 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose about 1% on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington was "very close" to nailing down a trade deal with China.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose 55 cents to $64.27 a barrel by 11:23 a.m. EST (1623 GMT). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 futures rose 44 cents to $59.20 a barrel.

Oil prices received a fresh boost after Trump's tweet saying the United States was "very close to a big deal with China" amid reports that the country was considering a delay or possible cancellation of tariffs scheduled to go into effect on Dec. 15. prices received a fresh boost immediately following the tweet, futures eased somewhat during the session.

"It's tough to draw a firm conclusion from the latest that came out," said Gene McGillian, vice president of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. "It seems to be close, but we've all been waiting for this deal to happen."

The outlook for oil demand has been clouded by U.S.-China trade tensions and uncertainty over whether a fresh round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods would come into effect.

Trump was expected to meet with his top trade advisers on Thursday to discuss the Dec. 15 tariff deadline, sources told Reuters. commerce ministry said Beijing and Washington were in close communication, declining to comment on possible retaliatory steps if Trump imposes the extra tariffs. prices have firmed after OPEC and other producers including Russia agreed last week to rein in output by an extra 500,000 barrels per day in the first quarter of 2020.

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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said this week that it now expected a small oil market deficit in the next year, suggesting the market is tighter than previously thought. contrast, the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicted a sharp rise in global inventories despite the OPEC agreement, noting expectations for lower output by the United States and other non-OPEC countries. prices were also supported by the U.S. Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at a meeting on Wednesday. European Central Bank also kept its ultra-easy monetary policy unchanged on Thursday, even keeping the door open to more stimulus. oil prices are trending higher benefiting from a dovish Fed, a weaker U.S. dollar, the IEA reiterates that despite the deeper oil production cuts, the oil market is likely to be oversupplied in 1H20," said UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

https://tmsnrt.rs/35Hre4S CHART: Brent oil may revisit Dec 11 low of $63.01

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