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Autodesk stock target raised, Hold rating sustained on EPS forecast hike

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 2024-06-12, 11:34 a/m
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On Wednesday, CFRA adjusted its outlook on Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), increasing the price target to $235 from the previous figure of $231, while sustaining a Hold rating on the stock. The revision follows Autodesk's reported first-quarter revenue of $1.42 billion, which surpassed the consensus estimate by $17.8 million. Additionally, the company's non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87 exceeded expectations by $0.10.

The new stock price target is based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.4 times the firm's projected EPS over the next twelve months, amounting to $8.27, which aligns with Autodesk's one-year average. CFRA also increased its EPS forecast for fiscal year 2025 to $8.15, up from $8.11, and for fiscal year 2026 to $9.09, up from $9.05.

Autodesk's revenue growth for the quarter was 11.7% year-over-year, driven by a 11.5% increase in subscription sales, which reached $1.33 billion. Still, maintenance revenue saw a 21% decline year-over-year. The company's quarterly performance benefited from price increases and robust demand in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC) and Manufacturing segments.

On the other hand, the Media and Entertainment sector experienced sluggishness due to the lingering effects of strikes in Hollywood, and sales in the China region also negatively impacted overall top-line growth.

The report highlighted that despite the strong first-quarter results and a second-quarter forecast that exceeded expectations, Autodesk remains cautious in its outlook for the second half of the fiscal year 2025. This conservative stance is attributed to persistent macroeconomic challenges and suggests a reduced visibility for the company's future performance.

In other recent news, Autodesk, Inc. has seen significant developments. The company reported a robust start to fiscal 2025, with first-quarter revenue increasing by 12% to $1.42 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87, both surpassing analyst expectations. Despite a 5% decrease in total billings, future revenue pipeline appears strong with remaining performance obligations growing by 12% year-over-year.

Analysts have provided mixed responses to these developments. BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital adjusted its stance on Autodesk, reducing the share price target to $254 from the former $293 while keeping a Market Perform rating on the stock.

On the other hand, RBC (TSX:RY) Capital maintained a positive stance on Autodesk, reiterating an Outperform rating with a steady price target of $260.00. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) reduced its price target to $245 from the previous $265, maintaining a Hold rating, and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) cut its price target to $225 from the previous $230, reaffirming a Sell rating on the company.

In addition, Autodesk has announced Project Bernini, an AI model designed to generate 3D shapes from various inputs, marking a significant advancement in the design space. These recent developments reflect the company's strategic initiatives and financial health, providing investors with a clearer picture of Autodesk's current status and future prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

Following CFRA's updated outlook on Autodesk, an examination of real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional context to the company's financial position and market valuation. Autodesk's impressive gross profit margin stands at 91.73% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, underscoring the company's ability to retain a significant portion of its revenue after the cost of goods sold. This figure aligns with the company's robust demand in key segments such as Architecture, Engineering, and Construction.

Still, investors should note Autodesk's high valuation multiples, with a P/E ratio of 45.98 and a Price/Book ratio of 22.11, indicating that the stock is trading at a premium compared to earnings and book value. This may reflect market expectations of future growth or a premium for the company's industry leadership. Moreover, an InvestingPro Tip points out that Autodesk's short-term obligations exceed its liquid assets, which may warrant closer attention to its liquidity management.

To gain further insights and access additional InvestingPro Tips for Autodesk, investors can explore https://www.investing.com/pro/ADSK. Currently, there are 14 additional tips available, offering a deeper dive into the company's financial health and stock performance. Interested readers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, enriching their investment research with valuable analytics and data.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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