Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Canada December annual inflation rate rises to 2.0 pct

Published 2019-01-18, 09:11 a/m
Updated 2019-01-18, 09:20 a/m
Canada December annual inflation rate rises to 2.0 pct

TORONTO, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate in December firmed to 2.0 percent from 1.7 percent in November, on the back of rising air transportation and telephone service costs which offset lower energy prices, Statistics Canada said on Friday.

But the stronger-than-expected inflation reading was unlikely to encourage Bank of Canada to immediately raise interest rates, economists said.

"There is no urgency whatsoever for the Bank to move," Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets said. "We've been looking for two rate hikes later this year, and I stress the word 'later'. We've got them going in July and December."

The Canadian dollar CAD=D4 got a mild boost from the inflation data, edging up to touch 1.3241 to the U.S. dollar.

The median forecast of analysts surveyed by Reuters was for the consumer price index to be -0.4 percent for the month, and annual inflation of 1.7 percent in December.

"I wouldn't read too much into it," said Andrew Kelvin, senior rates strategist at TD Securities. "There was a big boost from air travel again, so that's something we would expect to unwind in the coming months. What's more important is that the core inflation metrics were stable and we did have a bit of a downward revision to the median core CPI metric."

Last week, the Bank of Canada held rates steady as expected but said more increases would be necessary even though low oil prices and a weak housing market will harm the economy in the short term.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The central bank cut its near-term growth forecasts to reflect the impact of crude prices but said the slowdown should be temporary and predicted the economy would post above-potential growth in 2020.

The bank has raised rates five times since July 2017 and as recently as last month said the pace of tightening could be sped up depending on economic data.

The bank noted that much of the economy was operating close to capacity but said consumption spending and housing investment had been weaker than expected as housing markets adjusted to tougher mortgage rules and higher interest rates.

Percent changes

Month-on-month

Year-on-year

Dec

Nov

Dec

Nov

CPI - all items

-0.1

-0.4

+2.0

+1.7

CPI - common

n/a

n/a

+1.9

+1.9

CPI - trim

n/a

n/a

+1.9

+1.9

CPI - median

n/a

n/a

+1.8

+1.8

Bank of Canada core

-0.2

-0.2

+1.7

+1.5

All items ex food/energy

+0.1

-0.3

+2.3

+1.7

Goods

-0.7

-0.7

+0.2

+0.5

Services

+0.5

-0.1

+3.5

+2.7

Energy

-3.7

-4.8

-3.7

-1.3

Seasonally adjusted

-0.2

-0.1

n/a

n/a

Bank of Canada core

seasonally adjusted

+0.2

+0.1

n/a

n/a

NOTE: None of the figures except those in the last two lines are seasonally adjusted. The median prediction of analysts surveyed by Reuters was for the consumer price index to be -0.4 percent for the month, and annual inflation of 1.7 percent in December.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.