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New Zealand’s Jobless Rate Rises As Virus Starts to Impede Economy

Published 2020-05-05, 07:00 p/m
© Bloomberg. A pedestrian crosses a road in an empty street during a lockdown imposed due to the coronavirus in Auckland, New Zealand, on Thursday, March 26, 2020. Every household will be required to go into self-isolation, all non-essential businesses will close and schools will be shut, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said on March 23 in Wellington. Photographer: Brendon O'Hagan/Bloomberg
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(Bloomberg) -- New Zealand’s jobless rate rose and wage growth slowed in the first quarter as the Covid-19 pandemic started to push the economy toward recession.

  • The jobless rate rose to 4.2% from 4% in the fourth quarter, Statistics New Zealand said Wednesday in Wellington. Economists expected 4.4%
  • Employment unexpectedly climbed 0.7% from the previous three months. Economists expected a 0.2% contraction
  • The participation rate gained to 70.4% from 70.1% in the fourth quarter
  • The Labour Cost Index for non-government workers increased 0.3% in the quarter, slowing from 0.6% in the previous three months. From a year earlier, wages rose 2.4%

Key Insights

  • Data collection was mostly complete before the New Zealand government imposed a strict nationwide lockdown on March 25 which forced many businesses to shut their doors
  • Unemployment benefit claims have soared and business hiring intentions have slumped, suggesting the jobless rate may rise toward 10% over the course of 2020
  • The government introduced a 12-week wage subsidy to help cushion the initial impacts of the recession, and will update its fiscal support plans at the budget on May 14
  • The RBNZ is tipped to increase its quantitative easing program from NZ$33 billion at its policy announcement on May 13 as it seeks to cushion the impact of the economic slump on its inflation and employment targets

Market Reaction

  • The Kiwi dollar was little changed after the report. It bought 60.61 U.S. cents at 10:52 a.m. in Wellington.

Get More

  • New Zealand Economy Gets Back to Work as Lockdown Is Eased
  • N.Z. Government Seeks to Limit Jobless Surge With More Stimulus

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

© Bloomberg. A pedestrian crosses a road in an empty street during a lockdown imposed due to the coronavirus in Auckland, New Zealand, on Thursday, March 26, 2020. Every household will be required to go into self-isolation, all non-essential businesses will close and schools will be shut, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said on March 23 in Wellington. Photographer: Brendon O'Hagan/Bloomberg

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