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UPDATE 1-Permian crude gives up 3-month premium to WTI Cushing

Published 2015-10-02, 12:44 p/m
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Permian crude gives up 3-month premium to WTI Cushing
CL
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(Adds short-term and long-term views on Midland grades in
paragraph 8)
HOUSTON, Oct 2 (Reuters) - Light, sweet Permian crude, under
pressure from expectations of weakening demand, began trading at
a discount to WTI for delivery at Cushing Thursday, ending its
longest-running premium to the benchmark grade.
Midland WTI WTC-WTM traded as low as 30 cents a barrel
under the WTI CLc1 benchmark Thursday, its lowest level since
June 17.
Permian crude traded at about a $20 a barrel discount to WTI
as little as three years ago and has strengthened in the past
year, supported by the development of new takeaway capacity from
the region. While Midland crude will often oscillate between a
discount and a premium to WTI, the market recently sustained a
premium for a record three and a half months.
But that ended Thursday as domestic cash crude differentials
eroded on weaker demand from refiners ahead of the fall
maintenance season. Just last week, U.S. refinery utilization
fell to 89.8 percent, its weakest level since the end of May,
according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
As refiners run facilities at lower rates, crude inventories
on the Gulf Coast are up sharply, rising by 5.1 million barrels
last week to 23.57 million barrels and putting further downward
pressure on grades delivered into hubs at Louisiana and Texas.
"You've got softer light sweet prices in Houston and
Nederland, so Midland needs to discount as well to stay clear,"
Dominic Haywood, an analyst with Energy Aspects, said.
At the same time, 10 days of planned maintenance on a
portion of Plains All American's Basin Pipeline between Midland,
Texas, and Colorado City, Texas in November is also pressuring
Midland lower, as those barrels will need to find a new outlet.
Near term, fundamentals may remain weak for Midland crudes
as prices for U.S. Gulf Coast grades remain weak on ample supply
and potentially back crude into the Permian. Meanwhile,
long-term demand may be bolstered by the build-out of new
pipelines backed by long-term shipper agreements.
"If all of the planned and announced pipelines come online
which aim to move Permian crude east, it looks like pipe
capacity will significantly exceed production," Haywood added.


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