🔺 What to do when markets are at an all-time high? Find smart bargains, like these.See Undervalued Stocks

Forex - Dollar Hits Fresh 4-Month High After Mixed Jobs Report

Published 2018-05-04, 11:18 a/m
© Reuters.  Dollar returns to 4-month highs
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CAD
-
DX
-

Investing.com - The dollar marked a fresh four-month high against major rivals on Friday after the release of the monthly nonfarm payrolls.

At 11:17AM ET (15:17GMT), the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose 0.34% to 92.59. The intraday high of 92.75 was the strongest level since December 27.

The move higher came after a mixed jobs report that showed fewer jobs were created in April than expected, but the unemployment rate fell to 3.9%, its lowest level since December 2000.

Wage inflation remained subdued with a 2.6% rise year-on-year, missing expectations for a gain of 2.7%.

The increase in wages is being closely monitored by the Federal Reserve for evidence of diminishing slack in the labor market and upward pressure on inflation. Economists generally consider an increase of 3.0% or more to be consistent with rising inflation.

The data did little to alter market expectations for the Fed’s monetary policy path with the next hike still priced for June, with a follow-up in September. Odds for a fourth increase in 2018 at the end of the year remained at around 40% at the time of writing.

However, most experts believe that it is only a matter of time before the tightening labor market begins to push wages higher. The last time the jobless rate was at the current 17-year low annual wage inflation was climbing 4.3%.

“We still believe that the wage story will turn higher and be the catalyst for the Fed to take a more aggressive stance on the inflation threat,” ING economists remarked after the release.

“We continue to look for 3 further interest rates rises this year, starting with June 13,” they concluded.

Dollar strength was widespread after the report although most major rivals were pulling back from respective lows against the greenback.

GBP/USD was last down 0.43% to 1.3517, off an intraday low of 1.3487, its lowest since January 10. The move comes ahead of the Bank of England’s policy meeting next week. A string of weak data and comments from policymakers have dampened expectations that the central bank will move on interest rates.

Similarly, EUR/USD was last at 1.1929 after falling as far as 1.1911 earlier, its lowest level since December 28. Data released Friday in the euro zone showed weaker than expected retail sales and business activity, underlining the case for the European Central Bank’s caution in removing stimulus measures.

The euro was higher but came off the best levels of the day after data showing that inflation in the euro area slowed unexpectedly in April, underlining the case for the European Central Bank’s caution in removing stimulus measures.

The dollar showed less strength against the loonie on Friday, despite hitting a one-month high earlier. USD/CAD inched up 0.07% to 1.2862, paring gains from an intraday high of 1.2917, its highest level since April 3.

The notable exception among the pairs was USD/JPY, slipping 0.01% to 109.18.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.