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PRECIOUS-Gold slips as U.S.-China trade war fears prop up dollar

Published 2018-10-30, 03:28 a/m
Updated 2018-10-30, 03:28 a/m
© Reuters. PRECIOUS-Gold slips as U.S.-China trade war fears prop up dollar

* U.S. plans more China tariffs if Trump-Xi meeting fails - report

* Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust rise to highest in nearly 2-months

* Spot gold may test support at $1,217/oz- technicals

By Vijaykumar Vedala

BENGALURU, Oct 30 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar firmed on renewed fears of an intensification in the Sino-U.S. trade war and worries over slowing global economic growth.

Investors took cover in the greenback after Bloomberg reported that Washington is preparing to announce tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports by early December if talks next month between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping fail to ease the trade war. USD/

A stronger dollar makes bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Spot gold XAU= was down 0.4 percent at $1,224.80 an ounce at 0721 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were down 0.1 percent at $1,226.30 an ounce.

"There is a little bit of pressure from the dollar for now. But, overall gold prices look fundamentally supported. Market sentiment is still very cautious. We feel upside potential for gold at $1,255 is highly possible," said Benjamin Lu, a commodities analyst with Phillip Futures.

"Gold prices have started seeing some strength, unlike the previous two quarters, from geo-political factors. Dollar is still very strong and may limit the upside in gold prices. But it doesn't look like gold will lose steam due to the dollar vigour for now."

Gold prices have gained about 6 percent since declining to $1,159.96 an ounce in mid-August, the lowest since January 2017. Choppy sessions in global equity markets last week pushed gold to $1,243.32, its highest since July 17 on Friday.

However, the yellow metal is still down about 10 percent from its April peak after investors turned to the dollar as a safe-haven as the U.S.-China trade war unfolded against a background of higher U.S. interest rates.

"The rally in gold seems to be exhausted near the level of $1,240. To break this level, it really needs big triggers," said Vandana Bharti, assistant vice president of commodity research at SMC Comtrade Ltd.

"It was a correction in the equity markets that provided the recent upside in gold. If equity markets tumble further, which we expect due to trade war and other issues, then we may see fresh buying in gold."

Asia shares recouped early losses and crept higher as China made a fresh attempt to stabilise its stock markets, but the gains looked fragile. MKTS/GLOB

Spot gold XAU= may test a support at $1,217 per ounce, a break below which could cause a loss to the next support at $1,208, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. in SPDR Gold Trust GLD , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.7 percent to 24.27 million ounces on Monday, the highest in nearly two months. GOL/ETF

Meanwhile, silver XAG= was flat at $14.45 per ounce, near a more than two-week low of $14.38 hit in the previous session.

Platinum XPT= rose 0.1 percent to $833.10 per ounce and palladium XPD= climbed 0.3 percent to $1,092.0 per ounce.

Latest comments

I'm also quite curious if anyone made an attempt to call the GLD hotline at 866▪320▪4053 in search of numerical details on GLD's insurance? The GLD prospectus vaguely mentions their custodian having some insurance policies but it is also written that these policies do not cover all of their gold. When I asked about how much of the gold was insured, the representative proceeded to act as if he didn't know and said they were just the "marketing agent" for GLD. What kind of marketing agent would not know such basic information about a product they are marketing? It seems like they are deliberately hiding information from investors.
"24.27 million ounces". . Vijaykumar Vedala, how reliable are GLD's holding reports? GLD does not give retail investors the right to redeem for any of its mystery physical gold holdings. This fact alone ensures the GLD shares to be nothing more than paper at the end of the day. GLD also has a glaring audit loophole in their prospectus that states they have no right to audit subcustodial gold holdings. To this day, I have not heard of a single good reason for the existence of this backdoor to the fund.. . I remember there was a highly publicized visit by CNBC's Bob Pisani to GLD's gold vault. This visit was organized by GLD's management to prove the existence of GLD's gold but the gold bar held up by Mr. Pisani had the serial number ZJ6752 which did not appear on the most recent bar list at that time. It was later discovered that this "GLD" bar was actually owned by ETF Securities.
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