Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Over the last few weeks, bond markets have been on the move: 30-Year Treasury yields have rapidly surged from below 4% to almost 4.50% catching many by surprise.Yet understanding why and what drives...

US treasury yields fell after the macro data showed that the US economy grew at a slower-than-expected 2.1% pace from the first quarter. Analysts had expected a gain of 2.4% in the second quarter....

The previous article discussed the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could temporarily upset the Treasury market,...

Long-term government bond yields stabilized in the U.S. (-2 basis points week-over-week for the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.23%) while the 2-year yield closed 14 basis points higher at 5.08%...

“China, Japan, inflation, deficits, and QT, oh my!” – The chant of bond traders watching yields creep higher.Despite the highest yields in 15 years, some bearish bond traders think...

The last time you could lock in a real (inflation-adjusted) yield with inflation-adjusted Treasuries (TIPS), the world was still cleaning up the mess from the financial crisis. A lot has changed since...

Following stronger-than-anticipated retail sales, US Treasury yields escalated as investors contemplated the Federal Reserve's potential rise in rates later this year. The Fed’s minutes from...

For much of the year, the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases have peaked or were about to peak. The underlying logic centered on the...

The 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade at a level well above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value estimate, but the gap suggests that further increases in the benchmark rate are facing...

The global rise in interest rates may be peaking, a view that’s helped lift most corners of foreign bond markets year to date, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday’s close (Aug....

Global bonds rocked by Bank of Japan changes, Fitch downgrade, and Fed's outlook. Long-term bond market sees rare turbulence. Investors split: Buffett and Musk optimistic, Ackman bearish. A triple...

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield soared to 4.19% on Thursday, peaking for the first time since November 2022, but retreated significantly on Friday, ending at 4.04% (+8 basis points over the week) in...

Interest rates continue climbing this year, but that hasn’t stopped bonds from rallying in 2023 when measured in total-return terms. The main exception is long-dated US Treasuries. Otherwise,...

Interest rates remain in the spotlight, with investors watching every economic data release and wondering when the Federal Reserve will stop raising rates.Well, one way to gauge this environment is to...