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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 13.3x - 14.7x | 14.0x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.4x - 10.4x | 9.9x |
Fair Value | €12.16 - €13.26 | €12.71 |
Upside | 22.9% - 34.0% | 28.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
361 Degrees International Limited | 1361 | SEHK:1361 |
JNBY Design Limited | 3306 | SEHK:3306 |
Li Ning Company Limited | 2331 | SEHK:2331 |
Daphne International Holdings Limited | 210 | SEHK:210 |
Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co.,Ltd. | 603877 | SHSE:603877 |
ANTA Sports Products Limited | AS7 | DB:AS7 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
1361 | 3306 | 2331 | 210 | 603877 | AS7 | ||
SEHK:1361 | SEHK:3306 | SEHK:2331 | SEHK:210 | SHSE:603877 | DB:AS7 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 12.2% | 14.3% | 21.7% | NM- | -9.2% | 14.3% | |
3Y CAGR | 14.3% | 11.7% | -3.2% | NM- | -25.1% | 15.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 15.8% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 18.6% | -31.2% | 7.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 16.3% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 2.2% | 6.8% | 24.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 16.4% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 36.5% | 7.8% | 26.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 25.2% | 18.0% | 35.2% | 5.6% | 24.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 15.9% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 35.2% | 5.2% | 24.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.86x | 1.37x | 0.72x | 1.52x | 0.95x | 2.72x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.4x | 5.5x | 4.0x | 4.3x | 18.4x | 10.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 5.7x | 6.0x | 5.2x | 5.1x | 27.1x | 11.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 5.4x | 18.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | 19.5x | 29.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.3x | 14.0x | 14.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 17,666 | 17,666 | 17,666 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 235,708 | 248,114 | 260,519 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 41,324 | 41,324 | 41,324 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 277,032 | 289,438 | 301,843 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,807.2 | 2,807.2 | 2,807.2 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 98.69 | 103.10 | 107.52 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.89 | 12.42 | 12.95 | 9.90 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 20.1% | 25.5% | 30.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 1361 | 3306 | 2331 | 210 | 603877 | AS7 | |
Enterprise Value | 8,583 | 7,344 | 20,178 | 477 | 6,331 | 189,323 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,256 | 1,860 | 15,763 | 510 | 1,960 | 35,079 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 19 | 215 | 4,572 | 1 | 4 | 39,375 | |
(-) Debt | (265) | (689) | (1,936) | (7) | (1,481) | (28,120) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (454) | (47) | 0 | (4) | (7) | (5,010) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 12,139 | 8,682 | 38,577 | 977 | 6,807 | 230,647 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,067.7 | 516.0 | 2,575.5 | 1,978.6 | 471.1 | 2,807.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.87 | 16.83 | 14.98 | 0.49 | 14.45 | 82.16 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 8.30 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.42 | 18.40 | 16.38 | 0.54 | 14.45 | 9.90 | |
Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | CNY | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 8.30 |