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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.2x - 15.7x | 15.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.4x - 12.6x | 12.0x |
Fair Value | €43.14 - €49.08 | €46.11 |
Upside | -8.6% - 4.0% | -2.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Mitsubishi Electric Corporation | 6503 | TSE:6503 |
Sumitomo Corporation | 8053 | TSE:8053 |
Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co., Ltd. | 600522 | SHSE:600522 |
Prysmian S.p.A. | PRY | BIT:PRY |
Onamba Co., Ltd. | 5816 | TSE:5816 |
Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. | FKA | DB:FKA |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
6503 | 8053 | 600522 | PRY | 5816 | FKA | ||
TSE:6503 | TSE:8053 | SHSE:600522 | BIT:PRY | TSE:5816 | DB:FKA | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 7.7% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 14.9% | |
3Y CAGR | 14.4% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 30.9% | 25.6% | 60.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 21.0% | -2.4% | -5.5% | 19.9% | 10.6% | 321.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.11x | 0.63x | 0.70x | 1.33x | 0.12x | 0.61x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.5x | 8.5x | 8.2x | 14.7x | 1.6x | 8.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 16.2x | 11.4x | 12.2x | 19.4x | 2.3x | 15.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.3x | 12.2x | 19.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 15.6x | 27.0x | 45.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 15.0x | 15.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 47,098 | 47,098 | 47,098 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 669,352 | 704,581 | 739,810 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (159,759) | (159,759) | (159,759) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 509,593 | 544,822 | 580,051 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 7,231.01 | 7,730.90 | 8,230.79 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 171.1 | 171.1 | 171.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 42.25 | 45.17 | 48.09 | 47.20 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -10.5% | -4.3% | 1.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 6503 | 8053 | 600522 | PRY | 5816 | FKA | |
Enterprise Value | 6,126,089 | 4,604,933 | 34,547 | 24,012 | 5,317 | 729,044 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 757,331 | 589,905 | 15,753 | 583 | 6,536 | 66,780 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 324,766 | 3,448,121 | 2,885 | 261 | 2,897 | 123,985 | |
(-) Debt | (360,661) | (3,783,638) | (5,008) | (5,497) | (2,098) | (318,628) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (126,688) | (237,096) | (814) | (200) | (429) | (31,896) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,720,837 | 4,622,225 | 47,362 | 19,159 | 12,223 | 569,285 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,065.4 | 1,210.0 | 3,397.6 | 286.7 | 12.2 | 70.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3,254.00 | 3,820.00 | 13.94 | 66.82 | 1,003.00 | 8,078.03 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 171.14 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,254.00 | 3,820.00 | 13.94 | 66.82 | 1,003.00 | 47.20 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | CNY | EUR | JPY | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 171.14 |