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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 5.0x - 5.6x | 5.3x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 4.6x - 5.1x | 4.9x |
Fair Value | NT$ 124.19 - NT$ 136.36 | NT$ 130.28 |
Upside | 65.6% - 81.8% | 73.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
WIN Semiconductors Corp. | 3105 | TPEX:3105 |
United Microelectronics Corporation | 2303 | TWSE:2303 |
Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation | 5347 | TPEX:5347 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 2330 | TWSE:2330 |
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. | SWKS | NasdaqGS:SWKS |
Advanced Wireless Semiconductor Company | 8086 | TPEX:8086 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
3105 | 2303 | 5347 | 2330 | SWKS | 8086 | |||
TPEX:3105 | TWSE:2303 | TPEX:5347 | TWSE:2330 | NasdaqGS:SWKS | TPEX:8086 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -4.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 22.0% | 4.4% | 15.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | -12.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 22.2% | -6.5% | -1.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.2% | 5.6% | 15.1% | 39.9% | -12.9% | 63.6% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.5% | 23.9% | 24.6% | 44.0% | 26.5% | 11.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -0.8% | 25.9% | 15.1% | 42.6% | 24.2% | 2.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 45.7% | 18.8% | 11.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 4.8% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 47.2% | 17.2% | 11.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.06x | 1.90x | 2.86x | 6.95x | 2.37x | 2.96x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 43.0x | 9.0x | 17.7x | 14.7x | 13.8x | 25.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.20x | 2.41x | 3.81x | 7.50x | 2.51x | 3.33x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.90x | 2.37x | 6.95x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.96x | 5.51x | 11.89x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 5.04x | 5.31x | 5.57x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 4,456 | 4,456 | 4,456 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 22,457 | 23,639 | 24,821 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,685 | 1,685 | 1,685 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 24,142 | 25,324 | 26,506 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 196.5 | 196.5 | 196.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 122.85 | 128.87 | 134.88 | |||||
FX Rate: TWD/TWD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 122.85 | 128.87 | 134.88 | 75.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 63.8% | 71.8% | 79.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 3105 | 2303 | 5347 | 2330 | SWKS | 8086 | |
Enterprise Value | 35,080 | 453,835 | 125,611 | 22,759,197 | 9,583 | 13,054 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,662 | 116,869 | 63,874 | 2,703,090 | 1,739 | 2,826 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 18,962 | 71,407 | 7,448 | 160,790 | 16 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (21,166) | (68,599) | (24,656) | (986,980) | (1,193) | (1,141) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1,020) | (224) | (4,563) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 37,519 | 573,289 | 167,714 | 24,636,097 | 10,145 | 14,739 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 423.9 | 12,558.4 | 1,867.6 | 25,932.7 | 153.6 | 196.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 88.50 | 45.65 | 89.80 | 950.00 | 66.06 | 75.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 88.50 | 45.65 | 89.80 | 950.00 | 66.06 | 75.00 | |
Trading Currency | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | USD | TWD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |