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We expect a consensus 0.3% MoM core inflation reading in the US today. We see the rise in the USD/JPY as an indication that fast money is probably positioned for a stronger figure, meaning there are...
The FX market appears in wait-and-see mode ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI. Today, there aren’t key data releases, but we’ll keep an eye on speeches by Fed member John Williams and the...
The US dollar is continuing to consolidate after Friday’s mixed data left the probability of a March rate cut above 50%, keeping yields steady around the 4% mark on the 10-year debt.Investors...
Major FX pairs look to have settled into early-year ranges and now await the next big input – Thursday's release of December CPI data for the US. The modest back-up in interest rates this year...
The labor market remains strong despite downward revision in recent months. Disinflation dynamics may decelerate post Thursday's data. Meanwhile, the EUR/USD pair is consolidating in an upward...
The US dollar demonstrated strength at the beginning of the year as it surged to reach the 103 level. This surge was propelled by positive US economic data, hawkish signals from the Fed, and an uptick...
The soft landing playbook could see a temporary reversal today were the December US jobs report to come in on the strong side. The market seems to have gotten a little ahead of itself in pricing the...
The US dollar is under pressure as the pound, and euro attempt a recovery, raising doubts about its upward trajectory. The dollar's recent easing is due to a minor rebound in risk appetite, a lack...
The EUR/USD’s sluggish start to the year continued in the first half of Wednesday’s session, with investors showing a preference for the US dollar ahead of key data releases from the...
The dollar jumped yesterday as investors started to return from the long Christmas break. Markets are unwinding some dovish bets, and questioning stretched equity valuations, ultimately favoring...
The prevailing market consensus points toward lower interest rates in developed countries next year, with both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) anticipated to make rate...
The EUR/USD, while experiencing a somewhat lackluster 2023, is on track to end the year with a modest 2.3% gain. Despite facing headwinds from consistently poor economic data in the Eurozone, the...
The Bank of Japan did not give in to market pressure and kept its dovish guidance intact. However, the wording on the economic and inflation outlook paves the way for a hike in the second quarter in...
With the Bank of Japan being the last major central bank decision left for this year and the last important macro releases of the year to come this week, the USD/JPY is the featured currency pair of...
The US Fed's signal of potential rate cuts next year weakened the US dollar, which closed the week in the 102 band. Despite the dollar's decline, expectations for a rate cut in March, currently at...