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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision May 03, 2023 14:00
5
Weeks
3
Days
18
Hours
14
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
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Meeting Time:
May 03, 2023 14:00
Future Price:
95.140
5.00 - 5.25
16.8%
4.75 - 5.00
83.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 25.3% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 83.2% | 67.9% | 54.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 16.8% | 32.1% | 20.7% |
Updated: Mar 25, 2023 00:40 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 14, 2023 14:00
Future Price:
95.200
5.00 - 5.25
36.6%
5.25 - 5.50
5.0%
4.75 - 5.00
58.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 23.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 51.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 58.4% | 41.5% | 23.5% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 36.6% | 46.0% | 1.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 5.0% | 12.5% | — |
Updated: Mar 25, 2023 00:40 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 26, 2023 14:00
Future Price:
95.285
4.75 - 5.00
38.5%
5.00 - 5.25
7.9%
5.25 - 5.50
0.5%
4.50 - 4.75
53.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 18.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 46.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 53.1% | 37.7% | 28.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 38.5% | 45.6% | 5.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 7.9% | 15.6% | 0.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.5% | 1.1% | — |
Updated: Mar 25, 2023 00:40 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 20, 2023 14:00
Future Price:
95.580
4.75 - 5.00
51.1%
5.00 - 5.25
34.3%
5.25 - 5.50
6.8%
5.50 - 5.75
0.4%
4.50 - 4.75
7.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 5.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 26.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 7.4% | 10.6% | 41.3% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 51.1% | 39.9% | 22.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 34.3% | 37.2% | 4.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 6.8% | 11.5% | 0.2% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.4% | 0.8% | — |
Updated: Mar 25, 2023 00:40 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 01, 2023 14:00
Future Price:
95.905
4.75 - 5.00
23.8%
5.00 - 5.25
44.8%
5.25 - 5.50
24.0%
5.50 - 5.75
4.4%
5.75 - 6.00
0.2%
4.50 - 4.75
2.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 2.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 17.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 2.8% | 5.4% | 34.7% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 23.8% | 25.5% | 30.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 44.8% | 38.5% | 12.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 24.0% | 24.1% | 2.0% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 4.4% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.2% | 0.4% | — |
Updated: Mar 25, 2023 00:40 EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 13, 2023 13:00
Future Price:
95.995
4.75 - 5.00
7.5%
5.00 - 5.25
28.5%
5.25 - 5.50
40.1%
5.50 - 5.75
19.6%
5.75 - 6.00
3.5%
6.00 - 6.25
0.2%
4.50 - 4.75
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 1.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 9.8% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 25.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 7.5% | 6.8% | 32.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 28.5% | 26.4% | 21.9% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 40.1% | 37.5% | 7.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 19.6% | 22.8% | 1.1% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 3.5% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.2% | 0.4% | — |
Updated: Mar 25, 2023 00:40 EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Stock Market Today: Dow sidesteps fresh bank worries to notch secondweekly gain
By Investing.com - Mar 24, 2023
By Yasin Ebrahim Investing.com -- The Dow climbed Friday, notching a second weekly win as banks recovered ground from an early-day slump, while gains in big tech also sparked a broader market...
Bitcoin acts as a safe-haven asset during periods of crises, claims Bernstein
By Investing.com - Mar 24, 2023
By Sam Boughedda Bernstein analysts said Friday that Bitcoin acts as a safe-haven asset in times of crisis. The analysts explained in a note titled "Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. Equities correlation in 3...
U.S. stocks were falling as bank worries flare up again
By Investing.com - Mar 24, 2023
By Liz Moyer Investing.com -- U.S. stocks were falling on Friday as investor fears about the banking system flared up again. At 9:52 ET (13:52 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 234...
Analysis
Bitcoin May Need to Pull Back Before Rallying to $30,000
By Günay Caymaz/Investing.com - Mar 24, 2023
Bitcoin recently lost bullish momentum, trading in the $26,750 - $28,730 range, with $28,000 as critical resistance A potential pullback may lead to a retreat toward the $27,250-$27,500 support and a...
Recession Indicators Say the Fed Already Broke Something
By Lance Roberts - Mar 24, 2023
1
Recession indicators are ringing loudly. Yet, the Fed remains focused on its inflation fight, as repeatedly noted by Jerome Powell following this week’s FOMC meeting. He specifically made two...
4 Asset Classes Likely to Benefit from the End of Fed Hikes
By Francesco Casarella/Investing.com - Mar 24, 2023
1
The markets are anticipating the March interest rate hike being the last. Some asset classes hit hard in 2022, such as bonds, gold/silver futures, Bitcoin, and tech stocks, are rebounding. As the fed...