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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision May 01, 2024 14:00

2 Weeks 2 Days 11 Hours 35 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: May 01, 2024 14:00
Future Price: 94.680
5.00 - 5.25
6.3%
5.25 - 5.50
93.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
5.00 - 5.25 6.3% 5.9% 4.0%
5.25 - 5.50 93.7% 94.1% 96.0%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 12, 2024 14:00
Future Price: 94.715
4.75 - 5.00
1.2%
5.00 - 5.25
22.5%
5.25 - 5.50
76.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.75 - 5.00 1.2% 1.4% 1.8%
5.00 - 5.25 22.5% 26.9% 46.2%
5.25 - 5.50 76.4% 71.7% 52.0%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2024 14:00
Future Price: 94.735
4.50 - 4.75
0.4%
4.75 - 5.00
9.1%
5.00 - 5.25
42.5%
5.25 - 5.50
48.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.50 - 4.75 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
4.75 - 5.00 9.1% 11.4% 18.3%
5.00 - 5.25 42.5% 44.5% 48.3%
5.25 - 5.50 48.0% 43.5% 32.7%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2024 14:00
Future Price: 94.865
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
4.50 - 4.75
4.2%
4.75 - 5.00
23.8%
5.00 - 5.25
44.9%
5.25 - 5.50
26.9%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.25 - 4.50 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
4.50 - 4.75 4.2% 5.6% 11.6%
4.75 - 5.00 23.8% 26.6% 36.9%
5.00 - 5.25 44.9% 44.0% 38.6%
5.25 - 5.50 26.9% 23.5% 12.4%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 07, 2024 13:00
Future Price: 94.980
4.25 - 4.50
1.2%
4.50 - 4.75
8.9%
4.75 - 5.00
28.9%
5.00 - 5.25
40.6%
5.25 - 5.50
20.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
4.25 - 4.50 1.2% 1.6% 4.2%
4.50 - 4.75 8.9% 11.0% 20.2%
4.75 - 5.00 28.9% 31.2% 37.5%
5.00 - 5.25 40.6% 38.7% 29.7%
5.25 - 5.50 20.4% 17.4% 8.2%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 18, 2024 14:00
Future Price: 95.050
4.00 - 4.25
0.6%
4.25 - 4.50
5.0%
4.50 - 4.75
18.7%
4.75 - 5.00
34.6%
5.00 - 5.25
30.7%
5.25 - 5.50
10.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
4.00 - 4.25 0.6% 0.8% 2.7%
4.25 - 4.50 5.0% 6.2% 14.1%
4.50 - 4.75 18.7% 20.9% 30.9%
4.75 - 5.00 34.6% 34.8% 32.7%
5.00 - 5.25 30.7% 28.3% 16.4%
5.25 - 5.50 10.4% 8.9% 3.1%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 29, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.125
3.75 - 4.00
0.2%
4.00 - 4.25
2.0%
4.25 - 4.50
9.5%
4.50 - 4.75
23.9%
4.75 - 5.00
33.3%
5.00 - 5.25
24.0%
5.25 - 5.50
7.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.2% 0.3% 1.2%
4.00 - 4.25 2.0% 2.6% 7.5%
4.25 - 4.50 9.5% 11.1% 21.2%
4.50 - 4.75 23.9% 25.5% 31.7%
4.75 - 5.00 33.3% 32.7% 25.8%
5.00 - 5.25 24.0% 21.9% 10.8%
5.25 - 5.50 7.0% 5.9% 1.8%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 12, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.240
3.75 - 4.00
0.8%
4.00 - 4.25
4.5%
4.25 - 4.50
14.3%
4.50 - 4.75
27.0%
4.75 - 5.00
30.2%
5.00 - 5.25
18.4%
5.25 - 5.50
4.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.5%
3.75 - 4.00 0.8% 1.1% 3.9%
4.00 - 4.25 4.5% 5.6% 13.3%
4.25 - 4.50 14.3% 16.2% 25.6%
4.50 - 4.75 27.0% 28.1% 29.2%
4.75 - 5.00 30.2% 28.8% 19.5%
5.00 - 5.25 18.4% 16.2% 7.0%
5.25 - 5.50 4.7% 3.8% 1.0%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Apr 23, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.310
3.50 - 3.75
0.4%
3.75 - 4.00
2.3%
4.00 - 4.25
8.5%
4.25 - 4.50
19.5%
4.50 - 4.75
28.3%
4.75 - 5.00
25.4%
5.00 - 5.25
12.8%
5.25 - 5.50
2.8%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
3.50 - 3.75 0.4% 0.5% 2.0%
3.75 - 4.00 2.3% 2.9% 8.0%
4.00 - 4.25 8.5% 9.7% 18.7%
4.25 - 4.50 19.5% 20.8% 27.2%
4.50 - 4.75 28.3% 28.4% 24.9%
4.75 - 5.00 25.4% 24.0% 14.0%
5.00 - 5.25 12.8% 11.4% 4.4%
5.25 - 5.50 2.8% 2.4% 0.6%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 04, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.485
3.25 - 3.50
0.1%
3.50 - 3.75
0.8%
3.75 - 4.00
3.7%
4.00 - 4.25
10.9%
4.25 - 4.50
21.4%
4.50 - 4.75
27.7%
4.75 - 5.00
22.6%
5.00 - 5.25
10.6%
5.25 - 5.50
2.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3.25 - 3.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.9%
3.50 - 3.75 0.8% 0.9% 4.2%
3.75 - 4.00 3.7% 4.1% 12.0%
4.00 - 4.25 10.9% 11.7% 21.9%
4.25 - 4.50 21.4% 22.1% 26.3%
4.50 - 4.75 27.7% 27.6% 20.8%
4.75 - 5.00 22.6% 21.7% 10.4%
5.00 - 5.25 10.6% 9.8% 3.0%
5.25 - 5.50 2.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 16, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.525
3.25 - 3.50
0.6%
3.50 - 3.75
2.7%
3.75 - 4.00
8.5%
4.00 - 4.25
17.9%
4.25 - 4.50
25.6%
4.50 - 4.75
24.3%
4.75 - 5.00
14.7%
5.00 - 5.25
5.0%
5.25 - 5.50
0.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3.00 - 3.25 0.1% 0.1% 0.6%
3.25 - 3.50 0.6% 0.6% 3.1%
3.50 - 3.75 2.7% 2.8% 9.4%
3.75 - 4.00 8.5% 8.5% 18.6%
4.00 - 4.25 17.9% 17.7% 24.8%
4.25 - 4.50 25.6% 25.3% 22.7%
4.50 - 4.75 24.3% 24.2% 13.9%
4.75 - 5.00 14.7% 14.8% 5.5%
5.00 - 5.25 5.0% 5.2% 1.2%
5.25 - 5.50 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Updated: Apr 15, 2024 01:55 EDT

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