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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 19, 2025 14:00

6 Weeks 6 Days 5 Hours 4 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Mar 19, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.690
4.00 - 4.25
20.0%
4.25 - 4.50
80.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 0.5%
4.00 - 4.25 20.0% 16.0% 25.2%
4.25 - 4.50 80.0% 84.0% 74.3%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST
Meeting Time: May 07, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.785
3.75 - 4.00
5.7%
4.00 - 4.25
37.1%
4.25 - 4.50
57.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 0.1%
3.75 - 4.00 5.7% 4.8% 6.1%
4.00 - 4.25 37.1% 36.5% 36.2%
4.25 - 4.50 57.2% 58.6% 57.6%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST
Meeting Time: Jun 18, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.850
3.50 - 3.75
3.1%
3.75 - 4.00
22.7%
4.00 - 4.25
48.0%
4.25 - 4.50
26.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 3.1% 2.4% 2.5%
3.75 - 4.00 22.7% 20.8% 18.2%
4.00 - 4.25 48.0% 47.6% 44.9%
4.25 - 4.50 26.2% 29.2% 34.3%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST
Meeting Time: Jul 30, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 95.930
3.25 - 3.50
0.6%
3.50 - 3.75
6.9%
3.75 - 4.00
27.6%
4.00 - 4.25
43.8%
4.25 - 4.50
21.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
3.50 - 3.75 6.9% 6.7% 5.2%
3.75 - 4.00 27.6% 27.1% 22.8%
4.00 - 4.25 43.8% 43.3% 43.1%
4.25 - 4.50 21.1% 22.3% 28.5%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST
Meeting Time: Sep 17, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 96.015
3.00 - 3.25
0.2%
3.25 - 3.50
2.6%
3.50 - 3.75
13.5%
3.75 - 4.00
32.8%
4.00 - 4.25
36.5%
4.25 - 4.50
14.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
3.25 - 3.50 2.6% 2.3% 1.5%
3.50 - 3.75 13.5% 12.5% 9.2%
3.75 - 4.00 32.8% 31.6% 27.4%
4.00 - 4.25 36.5% 37.4% 39.7%
4.25 - 4.50 14.4% 16.0% 22.0%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST
Meeting Time: Oct 29, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 96.060
3.00 - 3.25
0.7%
3.25 - 3.50
4.8%
3.50 - 3.75
17.4%
3.75 - 4.00
33.5%
4.00 - 4.25
32.1%
4.25 - 4.50
11.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.7% 0.6% 0.3%
3.25 - 3.50 4.8% 4.3% 2.6%
3.50 - 3.75 17.4% 16.3% 11.6%
3.75 - 4.00 33.5% 32.8% 29.0%
4.00 - 4.25 32.1% 33.1% 37.4%
4.25 - 4.50 11.5% 12.8% 19.1%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST
Meeting Time: Dec 10, 2025 14:00
Future Price: 96.140
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.5%
3.25 - 3.50
7.3%
3.50 - 3.75
20.6%
3.75 - 4.00
33.3%
4.00 - 4.25
28.0%
4.25 - 4.50
9.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.25 - 2.50
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
3.00 - 3.25 1.5% 1.3% 0.6%
3.25 - 3.50 7.3% 6.5% 3.8%
3.50 - 3.75 20.6% 19.3% 14.1%
3.75 - 4.00 33.3% 32.9% 30.2%
4.00 - 4.25 28.0% 29.5% 34.8%
4.25 - 4.50 9.2% 10.5% 16.4%
Updated: Jan 30, 2025 07:35 EST

Fed Fund Rates

News

Dollar slips marginally lower; euro looks to the ECB
Dollar slips marginally lower; euro looks to the ECB By Investing.com - Jan 30, 2025

Investing.com - The US dollar slipped slightly lower Thursday, handing back some of the previous session’s gains after a slightly hawkish US Federal Reserve meeting, with the European Central Bank now...

Analysis

Michael Kramer
Are Markets Pricing in Higher-for-Longer Scenario? By Michael Kramer - Jan 29, 2025

Stocks finished the day lower after the Fed held rates steady and signaled a more patient approach. If you listen to Powell’s talk, the takeaway is that the Fed is in a good place, and it sounds like...

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