Market Overview

In the following video, I explain what I believe to be the 3 most important things to know about the global macro outlook in February.

Movements of the S&P 500 since the Fed’s interest rate hike on Feb. 1 indicate that despite the late weekly selling, the index still managed to close last week with a 1.6% gain.Thursday’s bumpy...

US equity futures are indicating a lower open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are lower, following broad weakness in Asia, where tech stocks were under pressure. Markets continue to digest the...

WALL STREET WAS stunned Friday morning by the strength of the jobs market. While technology company layoffs have lately hijacked the fear-mongering media’s narrative, the truth is that the...

The most recent NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) survey is sending a strong signal of an economic recession. In 2019, the NFIB survey, combined with an inverted yield curve,...

Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes

On Wednesday we got a de-clawed hawk in Chairman Powell and he treaded carefully. It was as if he was a hawk on barbed wire knowing if he swayed too far to either side he would get cut. For the...

US futures are indicating a higher open. European equities markets have opened higher as the region catches up with market action in the US, following a mixed performance in Asia. Dichotomy between...

US market rates fell after the Federal Reserve decision but this looks more like a market positioning effect than anything specific from the meeting. Expect some retracement. Both the European Central...

BOE As for today’s economic calendar, we have two important economic events unfolding. Firstly, it is the Bank of England’s meeting. The bank is expected to increase the interest rate by 50 basis...

In 2021 and 2022 we called the Federal Reserve “tardy” on several occasions as they doggedly held to their “transitory” inflation stance long after reasonable people (using the right indicators) would...

US futures are indicating a slightly lower open. European equities markets have opened slightly higher as the region catches up with the strong US close, following mostly higher levels in Asia. Fed is...

What follows is a somewhat-edited version of Episode #50 of the Inflation Guy Podcast; Hello and welcome to Cents and Sensibility, the Inflation Guy Podcast. I am Michael Ashton, the Inflation Guy,...

Despite mounting evidence supporting recession forecasts, the stock market remains at odds with that outlook. This leaves investors in a predicament of avoiding a further drawdown in the equity...