Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Mar 28, 2025

Actual

2.8%

Forecast

2.7%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	08:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.7%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	09:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.9%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	09:30	2.8%	2.8%	2.8%
Dec 20, 2024 (Nov)	09:30	2.8%	2.9%	2.8%
Nov 27, 2024 (Oct)	11:00	2.8%	2.8%	2.7%
Oct 31, 2024 (Sep)	08:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.7%

News

Goldman Sachs hikes probability of US recession to 35% amid Trump tariff jitters By Investing.com - Mar 30, 2025

Investing.com-- Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) said on Sunday that it expects a greater chance of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months, citing uncertainty over trade policy, softening consumer and business...

U.S. inflation slightly heats up; core PCE index rose 2.7% in February By Investing.com - Mar 28, 2025

Investing.com -- The "core" personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, an inflation metric closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, edged higher in February, providing the U.S. central bank...

Gold soars to record high near $3,100/oz on Trump tariff woes, PCE anticipation By Investing.com - Mar 28, 2025

Investing.com-- Gold prices hit a record high in Asian trade on Friday, extending recent gains amid heightened safe haven demand after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed steep tariffs on the...

Analysis

EUR/USD Eyes 1.0780 as Momentum Signals Shift Bearish By David Scutt - Apr 01, 2025

EUR/USD remains tightly correlated with benchmark German bund yields, sitting at a near-perfect 0.95 correlation in March Traders use the euro to express views on European growth after Germany’s...

With Inflation Swaps Surging, a Hot PCE Print Could Fuel the Bears' Case Today By Michael Kramer - Mar 28, 2025

Stocks finished yesterday lower, one day ahead of today's core PCE report. Analysts expect core PCE to rise by 0.3% m/m, and Kalshi is pricing a core PCE of 0.4% m/m. It will be interesting to see if...

EUR/USD Forecast: Will Tariffs or Data Drive the Pair? By Zain Vawda - Mar 26, 2025

EUR/USD is on multi-day losing streak amidst uncertainty surrounding new US tariffs, despite positive German data. Mixed US economic data, including declining consumer confidence, added to market...

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