Breaking News

U.S. PCE Price index YoY

Latest Release

Nov 30, 2023

Actual

3.0%

Forecast

3.0%

3.4%

The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways: a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency; on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: US Department of Commerce

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Dec 22, 2023 (Nov)	08:30			3.0%
Nov 30, 2023 (Oct)	08:30	3.0%	3.0%	3.4%
Oct 27, 2023 (Sep)	07:30	3.4%	3.4%	3.4%
Sep 29, 2023 (Aug)	07:30	3.5%	3.5%	3.4%
Aug 31, 2023 (Jul)	07:30	3.3%	3.3%	3.0%
Jul 28, 2023 (Jun)	07:30	3.0%	3.1%	3.8%

News

Dollar retreats after PCE data points to cooling inflation; Powell set to speak By Investing.com - Dec 01, 2023

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar retreated in early European trade Friday, as a key inflation release added to expectations that U.S. interest rates have peaked. At 04:40 ET (09:40 GMT), the Dollar...

Gold prices steady after strong November gains, Powell in focus By Investing.com - Dec 01, 2023

Investing.com-- Gold prices steadied near a seven-month high on Friday, pausing their recent rally amid anticipation of more cues on U.S. interest rates from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later...

Asia FX muted, dollar rebounds before Powell speech By Investing.com - Nov 30, 2023

Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Friday, while the dollar rebounded from 3-½ month lows in anticipation of more cues on interest rates from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome...

Analysis

S&P 500 Uptrend Under Threat Ahead of Key Data, Powell Speech By Michael Kramer - Nov 28, 2023

Yesterday was a fairly uneventful day, with the S&P 500 falling roughly 20 bps. Meanwhile, the 2-year auction at 11:30 AM was fairly ugly, with the new issue tailing one bps, while indirect...

Financial Conditions Ease Dramatically in November: What Does it Mean for Stocks? By Michael Kramer - Nov 27, 2023

The Mastercard SpendingPulse data noted that black Friday shopping increased by 2.5% y/y, down sharply from a 12% y/y increase in 2022. When we think about this, adjusted for inflation, that would...

Is it Finally the Right Time to Dump Stocks and Buy Bonds? By Michael Kramer - Oct 27, 2023

Stocks finished the day lower and were saved by a drop in rates following a solid 7-year auction. This pushed Treasury rates lower in the second half of the trading session. It allowed stocks to rally...

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U.S. 10Y	4.240	+0.116	+2.83%
U.S. 30Y	4.322	+0.076	+1.80%
Germany 10Y	2.2645	-0.0035	-0.15%

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BOC	5.00%	Jan 24, 2024
FED	5.50%	Dec 13, 2023
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