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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
What's Next After BoC Key Rate Hike? By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 18, 2018

KEY RATE INCREASE IN CANADAAs analysts and investors had anticipated, excellent Canadian economic indicators forced the Bank of Canada’s hand, as it raised its key rate to 1.25% yesterday...

Euro Has Wind In Its Sails By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 15, 2018

Everything has been coming up roses for the euro in recent weeks, as speculation regarding a potential tapering in bond purchases by the European Central Bank has resumed. The single currency has...

Euro Hits Highest Level In Three Years By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 12, 2018

The euro is stealing the show this morning, reaching its highest level in three years against the greenback as markets are taking a positive view of progress made in talks to form a coalition...

China Mulls Shunning U.S. Debt By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 10, 2018

There was a minor shakeup on markets this morning as China again made headlines by announcing that it is considering reducing or even eliminating its purchases of U.S. bonds, potentially in favour of...

New Year Starts Off With A Bang By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 08, 2018

The shockwave set off on Friday by the impressive Canadian job creation reading helped our currency revisit the highs seen in late September 2017. The consistent strength of our job market combined...

Markets Off To The Races In 2018! By The National Bank of Canada - Jan 03, 2018

Stock markets had a whale of a start to the year with significant gains yesterday. The situation is completely different for the U.S. dollar, which was down across the board.The U.S. dollar is simply...

Surprise From Retail Sales And Inflation Figures By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 22, 2017

It came as quite a surprise when the Retail Sales reading for October showed growth of 1.5% compared to a forecast number as low as 0.3%! The strong showing no doubt contributed to a return to...

Make Way For Canadian Inflation By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 21, 2017

To date, there appears to be disagreement on the direction that Stephen Poloz and the Bank of Canada (BoC) will take with regard to monetary policy. Some observers will say that the key rate will be...

U.S. Real Estate Sector Doing Great By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 20, 2017

We got a positive surprise yesterday with U.S. Housing Starts for November, which were up 3.3% compared to an expected -3.1%, which is in keeping with the most recent reports indicating a rise in...

All Economic Indicators In U.S. Humming By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 19, 2017

Despite the outlook for another relatively quiet day on the currency market, we will get an opportunity to take the pulse of the U.S. real estate market with the release of Housing Starts and Building...

Mission Accomplished For Janet Yellen By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 14, 2017

It’s mission accomplished for outgoing U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, as she delivered the much-anticipated 25-bp key rate increase yesterday. What’s more, she also confirmed...

What Does Janet Yellen Have In Store Before She Leaves? By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 13, 2017

No doubt to the great relief of U.S. Federal Reserve officials, we learned yesterday that inflationary pressures had made their way into the manufacturing sector, which climbed 0.4% in November....

Loonie Takes Advantage Of Rising Crude Oil Prices By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 12, 2017

After a relatively calm day yesterday, markets are waking up this morning, thanks to a surge in crude oil (Brent), which is up more than 1.5%. These gains stem from the announced closure of the...

Bank of Canada Expected To Hold Line On Rates By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 06, 2017

At 10 a.m. today, the Bank of Canada will announce its key rate decision. As such, here is an overview of the Canadian economy since the start of 2017 in a few data points:- Gross Domestic Product:...

Canadian Job Market Going Strong By The National Bank of Canada - Dec 04, 2017

On Friday, Statistics Canada revealed that 79,500 jobs had been created in November (full time: + 49,900 and part time: +29,000), shattering expectations of 10,000 new positions. The report is...

Loonie Below 78-Cent Mark By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 29, 2017

The Canadian dollar was under pressure Tuesday further to the release of the Bank of Canada’s Financial System Review, which is intended to assess the vulnerability of the Canadian economy in...

Economic Indicators Lend Support To U.S. Dollar By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 28, 2017

Better-than-expected economic indicators in the United States and comments by members of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) set the tone for the U.S. dollar on Monday, as it gained 0.45%, breaking through...

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