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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Dec 18, 2024 14:00
1
Weeks
6
Days
23
Hours
5
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 18, 2024 14:00
Future Price:
95.498
4.25 - 4.50
81.0%
4.50 - 4.75
19.0%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 81.0% | 75.5% | 72.7% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 19.0% | 24.5% | 27.3% |
Updated: Dec 04, 2024 14:25 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.615
4.00 - 4.25
21.5%
4.25 - 4.50
64.5%
4.50 - 4.75
13.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 21.5% | 20.1% | 16.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 64.5% | 62.0% | 62.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 13.9% | 18.0% | 21.3% |
Updated: Dec 04, 2024 14:25 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 12, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.735
3.75 - 4.00
11.9%
4.00 - 4.25
45.2%
4.25 - 4.50
36.7%
4.50 - 4.75
6.3%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 45.2% | 41.8% | 36.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 36.7% | 39.2% | 44.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% |
Updated: Dec 04, 2024 14:25 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 23, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.840
3.50 - 3.75
4.9%
3.75 - 4.00
25.5%
4.00 - 4.25
41.7%
4.25 - 4.50
24.2%
4.50 - 4.75
3.7%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 25.5% | 22.4% | 15.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 41.7% | 40.8% | 38.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 24.2% | 27.5% | 34.7% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% |
Updated: Dec 04, 2024 14:25 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 04, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
95.985
3.25 - 3.50
1.7%
3.50 - 3.75
12.0%
3.75 - 4.00
31.1%
4.00 - 4.25
35.7%
4.25 - 4.50
17.2%
4.50 - 4.75
2.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 31.1% | 27.6% | 22.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 35.7% | 37.0% | 37.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 17.2% | 21.2% | 27.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% |
Updated: Dec 04, 2024 14:25 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 16, 2025 14:00
Future Price:
96.060
3.00 - 3.25
0.8%
3.25 - 3.50
6.8%
3.50 - 3.75
21.4%
3.75 - 4.00
33.4%
4.00 - 4.25
26.5%
4.25 - 4.50
9.9%
4.50 - 4.75
1.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 21.4% | 18.3% | 13.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 33.4% | 32.3% | 29.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 26.5% | 29.2% | 32.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 9.9% | 12.6% | 17.5% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% |
Updated: Dec 04, 2024 14:25 EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Stock market today: S&P 500 closes at record to wrap up best month of 2024
By Investing.com - Nov 29, 2024
Investing.com--The S&P 500 closed at a record high holiday-shortened trading session Friday, wrapping up its best month of 2024. At 1.00 p.m. ET (1800 GMT), the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to a closing record...
Gold prices continue to fall as dollar firms; CPI, Fed cues in focus
By Investing.com - Nov 11, 2024
Investing.com -- Gold prices fell Monday, extending losses from last week as the dollar remained strong and risk appetite healthy in the wake of Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential...
Stock Market Today: Dow closes above 44,000 for first time as rally mode continues
By Investing.com - Nov 11, 2024
1
Investing.com-- The Dow climbed Monday, extending its recent rally to close above 44,000 for the first time as the stocks continue to surge ahead of upcoming inflation data and a slew of Federal...
Analysis
New Home Sales and Home Prices Argue for Another Cut
By Lance Roberts - Dec 02, 2024
New home sales fell by 17.30% in October, marking the most significant monthly decline in ten years, as shown in the graph on the left below. Furthermore, the supply of new homes on the market rose...
US Dollar Braces for Fed Clues; Prepare for Reactions to Tariffs, Trade Shifts
By Chris Turner - Dec 02, 2024
A much busier week in terms of US data will have a major say in whether the Fed cuts rates by 25bp on 18 December. US data poses some downside risks to the US Dollar, but the continued and expanding...
US Dollar Stays Steady; But Core PCE Data Could Challenge Fed Cut Speculation
By Chris Turner - Nov 27, 2024
The highlight of Wednesday's session will be the release of the US October core PCE deflator, expected at 0.3% MoM. Even though the market has largely moved on from the US inflation story, a sticky...