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Over a month, the S&P 500 index is down 5%. Although this makes shareholders uneasy, it is at times like these that make stock investing worthwhile for the long-haul. If history teaches us...
In last week’s post, “Is the correction over?” we wrote about the S&P 500's potential for a rally back to the 200-DMA. However, the failure of that test increased short-term concerns. As we noted...
Gold just smashed through $3,150—but how long can the rally hold? With markets bracing for Trump’s next tariff twist, haven demand isn’t going anywhere just yet. Still, even gold might need a...
On Sunday, we reduced the odds of our Roaring 2020s base-case scenario from 65% to 55% and raised the odds of a stagflationary scenario from 35% to 45%. The latter includes the possibility of a...
Measuring shifts in uncertainty is a slippery beast, but it’s easier to intuit when big changes unfold vs. the recent past. We’re knee-deep in one of those moments. One of the tell-tale signs is that...
Last week, we noted that the market performance, while distressing as of late, has been well within regular correctionary market cycles from a historical perspective. To wit: “While Trump’s tariffs...
Once a sleepy corner of the stock market, the S&P 500 Utilities sector is now a hotbed of debate. Fans believe that growth in data centers, cryptocurrencies, electric vehicles (EVs), the...
This year has seen a dramatic shift in markets with U.S. equity leadership giving way to a resurgence in overseas shares. “The bubble in American exceptionalism has been building for years. The...
It was a busy week between massive amounts of data, and who can forget Liberation Day? I still feel that most investors think Trump is bluffing and will provide more lenient tariffs. I don’t think...
With last week's move to the downside, we now have to consider new swing lows for indices, with the ones established a couple of weeks ago unlikely to hold. For many indices, these newly measured...
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