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We are revising our EUR/USD forecast lower following the Republican clean sweep. We assume that Trump will go ahead with both tax cuts and protectionism, with the latter triggering a dovish ECB...
The EUR/USD is feeling the effects of a holding pattern in financial markets, as traders remain hesitant to commit to specific positions. With an exceptionally tight US presidential race, many are...
Within 24 hours we may or may not know the identity of the 47th president of the United States, but FX options markets have priced in a respectful level of exceptionally high volatility over the...
USD Trump trades are front of mind this morning, with election day set for tomorrow and several notable polls released over the weekend. Specifically, high-quality polls from NYT/Siena surveying all...
It’s been busy in FX markets with surprisingly strong 3Q growth in Europe and an aggressive tax-and-spend budget from the UK Labour government. Eurozone rates and the EUR/USD could stay more...
Key U.S. and eurozone data could set the tone for EUR/USD ahead of the election. Fed's rate decision and GDP updates may drive volatility in the currency pair. Traders should brace for big moves, as...
Kamala Harris boosted by The Magnificent 7, global gold reserves surpass the euro as central banks' second most held asset, and de-euroisation vs. de-dollarisation. The United States’ tech giants...
CAD This afternoon’s BoC decision should be the big market event of the day. We expect to see the Governing Council cut rates by 50bps – a step up in the pace of easing after a series of 25bp moves...
The EUR/USD pair was a tad higher during the first half of the European session, but just like the previous day the small gains could prove to be short-lived as the US dollar continues to strengthen...
USD: Beige Book is probably the biggest threat to the dollar FX markets seem to be positioning for a Trump victory in next month's US presidential election. October seems to have been a good month...
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