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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ hits 8-month low as weak exports, lower oil weigh

Published 2016-11-04, 09:31 a/m
CANADA FX DEBT-C$ hits 8-month low as weak exports, lower oil weigh
USD/CAD
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CL
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CA2YT=RR
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CA10YT=RR
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DXY
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* Canadian dollar at C$1.3430, or 74.46 U.S. cents

* Loonie touches its weakest since March 4 at C$1.3451

* Bond prices higher across the yield curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened to an eight-month low against its U.S. counterpart on Friday, pressured by the weak trend in the country's exports and lower oil prices, while a solid U.S. jobs gain supported the greenback.

The Canadian economy unexpectedly added tens of thousands of jobs for the second month in a row in October, although all of the increase was due to new part-time positions, Statistics Canada data indicated. country also posted a record trade deficit of C$4.1 billion in September but the figure was boosted by the one-off import of machinery for an oil project. lackluster trend in exports suggest that we are still going to need a cheap Canadian dollar for a long time plus a cheaper still Canadian dollar going forward," said Nick Exarhos, economist at CIBC Capital Markets.

"What the employment figures do suggest though is that the near-term pressure on the Bank of Canada to ease rates or sound any more dovish than they have already sounded has diminished," Exarhos added.

The implied probability of a Bank of Canada interest rate cut by mid-2017 dipped to less than 30 percent from 34 percent before the economic reports, overnight index swaps data showed. BOCWATCH

Oil futures were on course for their sixth straight day of losses as signs of tensions resurfaced between Saudi Arabia and Iran that could scupper a key supply cut pact. U.S. crude CLc1 prices were down 1.19 percent at $44.13 a barrel. O/R

At 9:19 a.m. EDT (1319 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading at C$1.3430 to the greenback, or 74.46 U.S. cents, weaker than Thursday's close of C$1.3383, or 74.72 U.S. cents.

The currency's strongest level of the session was C$1.3386, while it touched its weakest since March 4 at C$1.3451.

The U.S. dollar .DXY edged higher against a basket of major currencies as U.S. employers maintained a strong pace of hiring in October and boosted wages for workers, which could effectively seal the case for a December interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve. government bond prices were higher across the yield curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR price up 2 Canadian cents to yield 0.538 percent and the benchmark 10-year CA10YT=RR rising 13 Canadian cents to yield 1.184 percent.

The 2-year yield fell 1.5 basis points further below its U.S. equivalent to a spread of -28 basis points as U.S. Treasuries underperformed at the front of the yield curve.

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