Energy markets saw a significant downturn this week, driven by a combination of supply surpluses and demand concerns. Both natural gas and crude oil prices experienced declines, which in turn weighed heavily on energy-focused ETFs. Among the S&P 500 sectors, energy was the only one to end the week in the red, down 0.50%, while the broader benchmark index gained 1.45%. To date, it is even the worst performer since the beginning of the year, up only 7.62% compared to the S&P 500’s gain of 18.13%.
Let’s delve into the key factors influencing these market movements.
Natural Gas Futures Fall on Supply Surplus
U.S. natural gas futures dropped 4.75% over the week, approaching the $2.0 per MMBtu mark.
This sharp decline followed a report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) disclosing a larger-than-anticipated rise in natural gas storage. For the week ending August 16, U.S. utilities injected 35 billion cubic feet of natural gas into storage, exceeding market expectations of a 27 billion cubic feet increase. This significant build-up has pushed storage levels to 12.6% above the five-year average, indicating an ongoing supply surplus. As a result, several key producers intend to reduce their output and delay investment projects to better balance supply and demand.
Crude Oil Prices Under Pressure
WTI crude oil futures also faced headwinds, trading below $75 leading to a 2.37% decline for the week. The oil market has been grappling with demand concerns from key regions.
Weak economic data from China and declining oil demand from its refineries added further pressure on crude prices. The Eurozone’s manufacturing sector also showed signs of weakening, contributing to a broader sense of uncertainty in the oil markets. However, there is some optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve might soon cut interest rates, which could boost economic activity and, by extension, oil demand.
Energy ETFs Experience a Downturn
The bearish trends in natural gas and crude oil have inevitably impacted energy ETFs. Over the week, energy ETFs recorded a 1.54% loss. The SPDR S&P U.S. Energy Select Sector UCITS (LON:SXLE) was among the hardest hit, losing 1.65%, while the Xtrackers MSCI World Energy UCITS ETF 1C (ETR:XDW0) declined by 2.16%.