Is the U.S. Dollar About to Fall Another 10%?

ca.investing.com/analysis/is-the-us-dollar-about-to-fall-another-10-200541025

By Chris Kimble | Dec 14, 2022 12:57

Saved. See Saved Items.

This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

+0.86%

Add to/Remove from a Portfolio

USD/CAD

-0.02%

Add to/Remove from a Portfolio

If you haven’t already learned, the financial markets can change on a dime. Trends and themes are good until they are not.

This is why we use technical analysis to alert us when the price is reversing or at risk of reversing.

Today we turn out attention to the US Dollar Index. As many of you are aware, King Dollar has been very strong for much of the past two years. But, as we mentioned above, things can turn quickly in the financial markets if you aren’t tuned in. And, as we have seen over the past two months, the U.S. Dollar has slid 10 percent.

We can see this on today’s long-term monthly chart of the greenback. And this turn lower comes after reaching elevated momentum levels.

U.S. Dollar Index Monthly Chart

More important, though, is that King Dollar is testing a critical support level at (1). This support acted as stiff resistance (see red arrows) while the Dollar traded in a sideways channel for years.

So for the first time in history, King Dollar is testing the top of this trading range as support.

With momentum still this high, a move below support at (1) could see another 10 percent drop. If it happens, it would be hard on the Dollar but great for precious metals. Stay tuned.

4 Reasons for the Strong US Dollar By Kathy Lien - Sep 28, 2023

Here are 4 reasons why the US Dollar is very strong.

FX Daily: Saudi Squeeze Brings Energy Back Into the Forex Mix By Chris Turner - Sep 06, 2023

If the beleaguered euro and yen did not have enough to worry about already, they now have to cope with Brent oil trading above $90/bl as the Saudis extend their supply cuts through...

FX Daily: ECB Hawkish Pushback to Face Key Inflation Test By Francesco Pesole - Aug 29, 2023

The ECB hawks have stepped in to revive depressed rate expectations, but markets are opting for data dependency, and EUR/USD is set to face two key risk events with eurozone...

Add a Comment

We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:

Enrich the conversation
Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.
Don’t Monopolize the Conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also believe strongly in giving everyone a chance to air their thoughts. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

I have read and understood Investing.com Canada's comment guidelines and agree to the terms described.

I Agree

Write your thoughts here

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Post also to:

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.

Comments (2)

ahmed ridha Houari Dec 15, 2022 13:58

Follow this post

Unfollow this post

Save

Saved. See Saved Items.

This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items

Block User

I need drop

0 0

Report

JoeMoney Dec 14, 2022 18:09

Follow this post

Unfollow this post

Save

Saved. See Saved Items.

This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items

Block User

Needs to drop

0 0

Report

<div id="comment">
				<div class="comment js-comment" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="211399911">
    <div class="mainComment js-content">
       <div class="commentInnerWrapper">
        <a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody">
                					<span class="commentUsername">
                    	<a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link js-user-name">{username}</a>
					</span>
                                <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
                <div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="211399911" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

<div class="js-option addRow follow">
            <div class="js-follow-post-button" data-reg_ep="follow comment">
                <span class="alertfollowIcon middle"></span>Follow this post            </div>
            <div class="js-unfollow-post-button displayNoneImp">
                <span class="alertUnfollowIcon middle"></span>Unfollow this post            </div>
        </div>

<div class="addRow js-option save"  data-reg_ep="save comment">
		<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-save-item-btn" data-item-type="comments" data-item-id="{commentID}">
			<i class="saveItemBigIcon middle"></i>
			Save		</a>
	</div>
	<div class="addRow saveItemsConfirmation noHover displayNone js-saveItemResult">
		
<div class="content js-saveItemSuccess displayNone">
	<span class="mediumGreenSuccessIcon"></span><span>Saved. See <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a>.</span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
<div class="content js-saveItemAlreadySaved saveItemAlreadySaved displayNoneImp">
	<span>This comment has already been saved in your <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a></span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
	</div>

<div class="addRow js-option blockUser js-block-option" data-comment-id="{commentID}"  data-user-id="211399911" data-reg_ep="block user comments">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);">
				<span class="blockIcon middle"></span>Block User			</a>
		</div>
				<div class="addRow shareButtons js-sharePopup displayNone">
			<div class="js-shareComment"><span class="js-shareCommentSpan"></span></div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>
                 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div>             </div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="commentBigChart js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
					<img src="https://d68-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="211399911">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

<div class="reportComment js-flag float_lang_base_2">
                            <a href="javascript:void(0);" id="commentFlag_{commentID}">
                                <span class="reportCommentIcon middle"></span><span class="inlineblock middle">Report</span>
                            </a>
                        </div>
                    				</div>
					</div>
	   </div>
	</div>
	</div>			</div>
			<div id="reply">
				
    <div class="commentReply js-comment js-comment-reply" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
		<div class="commentInnerWrapper"><a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody js-content">
            				<span class="commentUsername">
					<a href="{userLink}" class="commentUsername js-user-link js-user-name" onMouseOver="">{username}</a>
				</span>
                        <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
			 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div> 			<div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

</div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="replyBigChart displayNone js-comment-chart">
					<img src="https://d68-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
				<span id="commentSmallChart{commentID}" class="commentSmallChart pointer js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
                    <img src="https://d68-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImageSmall}" width="116" height="52" alt="{commentAlt}">
                    <span class="chartMagnifyOverlay displayNone"></span>
                    <span class="searchGlassIcon chartMagnify displayNone"></span>
                </span>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

I feel that this comment is:

Spam

Offensive

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review

Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

BOC

5.00%

Oct 25, 2023

FED

5.50%

Nov 01, 2023

BOE

5.25%

Nov 02, 2023

ECB

4.50%

Oct 26, 2023

SNB

1.75%

Dec 14, 2023

RBA

4.10%

Oct 03, 2023

RBNZ

5.50%

Oct 04, 2023

BOJ

-0.10%

Oct 31, 2023

CBR

13.00%

Oct 27, 2023

RBI

6.50%

Oct 06, 2023

PBOC

3.45%

BCB

12.75%

Nov 01, 2023

S&P/TSX	19,177.18	-364.09	-1.86%
S&P/TSX 60	1,151.30	-21.36	-1.82%
US 30	33,435.3	+1.9	+0.01%
US 500	4,291.4	+3.0	+0.07%
S&P 500 VIX	17.61	+0.09	+0.51%
DAX	15,247.21	-139.37	-0.91%
Dollar Index	106.730	+0.915	+0.86%

Crude Oil WTI	88.60	-0.04	-0.05%
Brent Oil	90.45	+0.03	+0.03%
Natural Gas	2.842	+0.002	+0.07%
Gold	1,844.35	+0.35	+0.02%
Silver	21.253	+0.015	+0.07%
US Soybeans	1,276.50	+2.50	+0.20%
US Cotton #2	87.75	+0.60	+0.69%

Bombardier Inc	45.620	-1.740	-3.67%
Enbridge	31.99	-1.20	-3.62%
Air Canada	19.22	-0.16	-0.83%
Ovintiv	21.70	-0.39	-1.77%
Apple	173.75	+2.54	+1.48%
Alibaba ADR	86.53	-0.21	-0.24%
Tesla	251.60	+1.38	+0.55%

Canada 5Y	4.293	0.000	0.00%
Canada 10Y	4.069	0.000	0.00%
Canada 30Y	3.849	0.000	0.00%
U.S. 2Y	5.108	+-0.004	+-0.07%
U.S. 10Y	4.683	-0.004	-0.09%
U.S. 30Y	4.796	+-0.000	+-0.01%
Germany 10Y	2.9135	+0.0025	+0.09%

Is the U.S. Dollar About to Fall Another 10%?

Related Articles