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James Picerno
Probable Scenarios for the U.S. Debt-Ceiling Conundrum By James Picerno - Apr 19, 2023

In yesterday’s post, I profiled my thinking on the big-picture outlook for estimating the risk associated with the debt-ceiling battle that’s brewing in Washington. To round out this...

Antoine Bouvet
Looking Past the Peak of Fed Key Rates By Antoine Bouvet - Apr 19, 2023

The US Federal Reserve could soon deliver the last hike of the current cycle. While United States 10-Year yields have seen their peak already, it will need the imminent prospect of rate cuts to...

James Picerno
Is a U.S. Debt-Ceiling Crisis Approaching? By James Picerno - Apr 18, 2023

The answer relies heavily, perhaps completely, on political calculations. In other words, trying to forecast how the tortured path ahead evolves is only a bit easier than trying to grab fish in a...

Antonio Ferlito
Are the rumors about oil production cuts just talk? By Antonio Ferlito - Apr 18, 2023

Oil prices are hurtling above $80 a barrel for both Brent and WTI futures.Oil reached a year-to-date high in morning trading on April 12 as traders watched demand and a report from a US company...

Raoul Pal
5 Weekly Charts That Signal a Rally in Bonds By Raoul Pal - Apr 17, 2023

In this piece, we’re going to run through some of last week’s important data releases.Let’s dive right in.1. New York Fed Global Supply China Pressures Index vs. U.S. CPI YoY%Another...

Ismael De La Cruz
Market Breadth Ratio Puts a Smile on Investors’ Faces By Ismael De La Cruz - Apr 17, 2023

S&P 500's market breadth is positive, signaling a bullish outlook for the index. Meanwhile, the 60/40 portfolio continues to make a comeback. Despite this, bearish sentiment continues to remain...

Alfonso Peccatiello
2 Things Hedge Funds Are Watching For By Alfonso Peccatiello - Apr 17, 2023

Hedge funds are often called fast or smart money because they are one step ahead of herd market thinking.I am blessed with the opportunity to have several of them as clients, and pick up their brains...

Lance Roberts
Recession Odds Jump as the Fed Crushes Consumers By Lance Roberts - Apr 15, 2023

Recession odds have climbed considerably since Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress and the latest FOMC meeting. However, the recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse...

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