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US futures are indicating a lower open as of 04:05am ET. European equities markets have opened with modest gains, following mixed performance in Asia. As worries about a Fed policy mistake grow,...
The Fed has recently released the hypothetical scenarios for its 2023 supervisory stress test. This test is conducted annually to show how the banks are likely to perform in a recessionary...
In last week’s note we reiterated our case from October that the “pain trade” was UP in the first half of this year DESPITE the short-term seasonal headwinds and possibility of...
US equity futures are indicating a higher open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are mixed, following a mixed performance in Asia, supported by tech...
The economic rebound in the second half of 2022 looks challenged in early estimates for first quarter GDP, based on the median for a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.US output is on...
US futures are pointing to a marginally higher open as of 04:05am ET. European equities markets have opened with losses, following weak performance in Asia. Markets are returning to the 'good news is...
US equity futures are indicating a lower open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are mostly weaker, following a mixed performance in Asia. Risk appetite is weak, following Monday's North American...
The February Fed minutes may reveal that rates have to go much higher.It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, but it will still be full of market-moving data. The Fed minutes will be released on...
We recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) and the inverted yield curve. “As in 2019, we see many of the same recession signals from...
Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes - VideoCast This content was originally published on Hedgefundtips.com.
US futures are indicating a lower open as of 04:05am ET. European equities markets have opened sharply down, following broad weakness in Asia. Markets are in risk-off mode following comments from Fed...
Data steepens the curves from the back endRates were pressured higher on the back of the much-better-than-expected retail sales data. A potential weather-related bounce in the data for January had...
Yesterday I joined Paul Vigna on Public.com to discuss my latest views on the market as well as opportunities/risks moving forward. Thanks to Mike Teich and Paul for having me on: Despite a weekend...
US futures are pointing to a higher open as of 04:05am ET. European equities markets have opened with gains, following broad strength in Asia. Equity market sentiment remains positive, concentrating...
Higher-for-Longer Narrative Hurts Bond LongsMonthly US inflation came in line with expectations in January. After hesitating, rates went resolutely higher. Given the lack of a clear signal in the CPI...