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Snatching Defeat From The Jaws of VictoryOn Wednesday, the market started up nicely on the back of the better than expected CPI prints: It didn’t take long for the Fed to mess things up (once...
US equity futures are indicating a slightly higher open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are firmer, following mostly softer levels in Asia, where markets shrugged off unexpectedly strong...
The Consumer Price Index eased more than expected in March, providing fresh evidence that pricing pressure has peaked and inflation remains on track to decelerate further in the months ahead. The core...
US futures are indicating a higher open. European equity markets have opened positive territory, following mixed to higher levels in Asia. US CPI in focus. March FOMC minutes also expected to provide...
Gold prices are on the move after the US CPI data has finally eased off and printed the reading of 5% against the expectations of 5.1%. Traders have taken this news as an indicator that the Fed is...
US futures are pointing to a higher open. European equity markets have opened in the positive territory, following mostly higher levels in Asia. Market focus remains on recession signaling from deeply...
Despite media headlines, podcasts, and broadcasts suggesting “doom and gloom” lurks around the corner, investor bullishness has increased markedly sincetheOctober lows. This isn’t...
When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry. But it’s when a recession hits, the Fed cuts rates and the curve steepens that you become s**t scared.Yield curve...
Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – VideoCast Article referenced in VideoCast above: “Stuck in the Middle with You” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)… As you can see in the...
As you can see in the chart above, there have been no gains for the S&P 500 for 12 months, and there have been no gains in the S&P 500 for 24 months. It is unchanged! As the old saying...
US equity futures are indicating a broadly flat open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are firmer, following mixed markets in Asia. Markets are treading water after sentiment turned mixed...
The main EU and US indices, Future Nasdaq 100, Future S&P 500, DAX, FTSE MIB, Ibex 35 are stable after the record increases of the last two weeks.Surprisingly there was a cut of net oil production...
I must say that it is discouraging how often I have to write about the Phillips Curve.The Phillips Curve is a very simple idea and a very powerful model. It simply says that when labor is in short...
US equity futures are indicating a slightly lower open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are mixed, following a mixed session in Asia. Japan finished notably lower on Wednesday while markets in...
Assessing US recession risk isn’t getting any easier, but when it comes to cutting through the noise, I continue to rely on combining models for the single-best tool in the toolkit. To...