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Last week, we discussed why the more bullish technical formations were at odds with the many recession forecasts. Not surprisingly, that article generated substantial pushback from readers, pointing...
US equity futures are indicating a higher open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are firmer, following mixed Asian trade. Markets are awaiting Fed Chair Powell's remarks later today. The yen is...
The U.S. stock market rally this year continues to be led by so-called high-beta stocks, which are outperforming the broad market by a wide margin, based on a set of proxy ETFs through Monday’s...
Last week, FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) became the prevailing market narrative.As data seemed to further validate the soft landing narrative and central bankers became ‘’data...
In the following video, I explain what I believe to be the 3 most important things to know about the global macro outlook in February.
Movements of the S&P 500 since the Fed’s interest rate hike on Feb. 1 indicate that despite the late weekly selling, the index still managed to close last week with a 1.6%...
WALL STREET WAS stunned Friday morning by the strength of the jobs market. While technology company layoffs have lately hijacked the fear-mongering media’s narrative, the truth is that the...
The most recent NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) survey is sending a strong signal of an economic recession. In 2019, the NFIB survey, combined with an inverted yield curve,...
US futures are indicating a lower open with Nasdaq sharply down, after big tech names such as Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) reported underwhelming earnings and...
On Wednesday we got a de-clawed hawk in Chairman Powell and he treaded carefully. It was as if he was a hawk on barbed wire knowing if he swayed too far to either side he would get cut. For the...
US futures are indicating a higher open. European equities markets have opened higher as the region catches up with market action in the US, following a mixed performance in Asia. Dichotomy between...
The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate range 25bp to 4.5%-4.75% and indicated it isn’t finished yet. With the economy losing momentum, the jobs market showing tentative signs of cooling, and...
US market rates fell after the Federal Reserve decision but this looks more like a market positioning effect than anything specific from the meeting. Expect some retracement. Both the European Central...
BOEAs for today’s economic calendar, we have two important economic events unfolding. Firstly, it is the Bank of England’s meeting. The bank is expected to increase the interest rate by 50...
In 2021 and 2022 we called the Federal Reserve “tardy” on several occasions as they doggedly held to their “transitory” inflation stance long after reasonable people (using the...