Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

US futures are pointing to a slightly higher open but mostly hovering around the flatline as of 04:05 ET. European equities markets have had a weak open, following mostly lower levels in Asia. Hawkish...

US recession risk is high unless it’s not. After months of conflicting signals from various business-cycle indicators, debate and disagreement reign supreme in the land of nowcasting and...

Chair Powell has sent a clear message: the Fed is back in the driving seat. At a very minimum, the Fed has given itself the option to deliver a 50bp hike from the March meeting. It's now discounted...

The big question facing the Fed is whether they should increase the Fed Funds rate by 25bps or 50bps on March 22, 2023. If Jerome Powell cared for our advice, we would tell him to take the opposite...

There’s no shortage of threats lurking, ranging from inflation, elevated interest rates that may go higher still, and various geopolitical threats. But market sentiment has improved recently,...

US futures are pointing to a slightly higher open as of 04:05 ET. European equities markets have opened flat, following mostly higher levels in Asia. Market participants are waiting for Fed Chair...

US equity futures are indicating a broadly flat open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are firmer, following mostly higher levels in Asia. Equity market sentiment remains upbeat despite the...

Expect volatility to ramp up; I don’t care what the headlines say. The implied volatility curve of the S&P 500 looks scary, with lots of sharp twists and turns. The term structure of the...

Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – VideoCast Article referenced in VideoCast above:The Ferruccio Lamborghini Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)… One of my favorite pastimes, when I have a...

US futures are indication a slightly higher open as of 04:05 ET. European equities markets have opened with modest gains as they catch up with the higher US closing move. Asian markets ended largely...

US economic activity looks strong or weak, depending on the data sets you choose to craft a narrative. That’s always true in some sense for the simple reason: there’s always some slice of...

Interest in AI and ChatGPT has increased over the past few months. But, after a tumultuous 2022 and the retreat in February, investors remain cautious. In this article, we will look at the 5 stages...

One of my favorite pastimes, when I have a little free time, is reading books and watching movies about extraordinary individuals who overcame significant obstacles to ascend to greatness.In recent...

US equity futures are indicating a lower open as of 05:00 ET. European equity markets are weaker, following mixed Asian trade. Markets continue to weigh the ongoing rise in peak rate forecasts, with...