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BMO Capital stays bullish on Constellation Software stock amid strong EBITDA trajectory

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-11-12, 04:34 a/m
CNSWF
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On Monday, BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital Markets updated its outlook on Constellation Software (ETR:SOWGn) (CSU:CN) (OTC: CNSWF), increasing the price target to Cdn$4,900 from the previous Cdn$4,800. The firm maintained its Outperform rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows Constellation Software (TSX:CSU)'s third-quarter financial results for 2024, which presented a slight shortfall in revenue but exceeded expectations in terms of EBITDA.

The analyst from BMO Capital highlighted that despite a year with relatively flat merger and acquisition activity, excluding large deals, Constellation Software has consistently achieved robust year-over-year EBITDA growth. The results led to minor revisions in BMO's financial model for the company.

Constellation Software's performance in FY2024, particularly its ability to maintain EBITDA growth, has been a key factor in BMO Capital's continued positive outlook. The firm believes that the company's valuation remains appealing, especially considering the potential for sustained mid-teens growth in cash flow and EBITDA, excluding the impact of spin-offs, over the medium term.

The analyst's remarks underscore the resilience of Constellation Software's business model and its ability to thrive even in a slower year for acquisitions. BMO Capital's revised price target reflects the firm's confidence in the company's growth trajectory and financial health.

Investors and market watchers will likely take note of BMO Capital's updated stance on Constellation Software, as it suggests a promising outlook for the company's ability to generate value and maintain its growth momentum in the coming years. The new price target of Cdn$4,900 represents BMO Capital's assessment of the company's future performance and market position.

In other recent news, BMO Capital Markets has upgraded its price target for Constellation Software to Cdn$4,800, up from Cdn$4,550, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. This adjustment comes as the firm anticipates the software company's third-quarter results for 2024.

Notable improvements in the company's fully consolidated estimates have been observed due to stronger-than-expected EBITDA performance from its affiliates, Topicus and Lumine.

Lumine, in particular, was singled out for its significant margin improvement, owing to effective cost optimization strategies at its recently acquired businesses, Motive and Axyom.

Despite a relatively quiet quarter for Constellation Software in terms of mergers and acquisitions, BMO Capital anticipates its EBITDA for Q3 2024 will exceed consensus expectations, suggesting robust operational performance.

Investors are eagerly awaiting the official release of Constellation Software's Q3 2024 results for further insights into the company's financial health. These are among the recent developments for Constellation Software.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement BMO Capital's positive outlook on Constellation Software, InvestingPro data reveals some compelling metrics that support the company's strong market position. Constellation Software's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 stood at $9,686 million, with an impressive revenue growth of 22.1% over the same period. This aligns with the analyst's observation of robust year-over-year EBITDA growth, as the company's EBITDA growth rate reached 26.5%.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Constellation Software has maintained dividend payments for 18 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the company is noted as a prominent player in the Software industry, which corroborates BMO Capital's confidence in its market position.

It's worth noting that while the company shows strong growth, it's trading at a high P/E ratio of 113.16, which investors should consider in light of the potential for sustained mid-teens growth in cash flow and EBITDA mentioned by BMO Capital. For those seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips that could provide further insights into Constellation Software's financial health and market prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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