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BMO lifts ULTA stock target, maintains Market Perform on growth visibility

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2024-12-06, 12:08 p/m
ULTA
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On Friday, ULTA Beauty (NASDAQ: ULTA), a $20.78 billion beauty retailer rated "GREAT" by InvestingPro's comprehensive health score, saw its price target increased by BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital from $385.00 to $420.00, while the firm kept a Market Perform rating on the stock.

The adjustment followed ULTA's announcement of stronger-than-anticipated earnings, which included top and bottom-line beats. The company's impressive earnings per share (EPS) were attributed to better comparable store sales, gross margins of 42.48%, and controlled selling, general, and administrative (SGA) expenses.

The positive earnings report prompted ULTA's management to revise its full-year guidance upwards, a move that contrasts with two previous quarters of lowered forecasts. This revision was received well by the market, with ULTA's shares experiencing an uptick in after-market trading. Trading at a P/E ratio of 15.75 and maintaining a healthy current ratio of 1.63, the company shows strong operational efficiency. BMO Capital's revised price target of $420.00 is based on approximately 18 times the estimated EPS for the fiscal year 2025.

ULTA's performance has been robust, with the company outperforming expectations. This has been a significant factor in the revised price target. The company's ability to navigate the competitive landscape and manage its distribution channels effectively has been a point of interest for investors and analysts alike.

Despite the positive outlook reflected in the raised price target, BMO Capital remains cautious. The firm is looking for further clarity on ULTA's competitive position and distribution strategies before adopting a more bullish stance. This information is deemed crucial in determining the sustainability of the company's sales and margins, as well as projecting next year's EPS.

In summary, ULTA Beauty's recent financial results have led to a more optimistic view from BMO Capital, albeit with a continued neutral rating. The company's upwardly revised guidance and strong market performance post-earnings have contributed to the raised price target, signaling confidence in ULTA's business trajectory within the attractive beauty sector.

In other recent news, ULTA Beauty has received several target price increases from various analyst firms following strong third-quarter earnings. TD (TSX:TD) Cowen raised its price target to $450, while Piper Sandler, Stifel, and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) increased their targets to $390, $455, and $459 respectively. Canaccord Genuity (TSX:CF) offered the highest target at $500. These adjustments were made in response to ULTA's reported earnings per share (EPS) of $5.14, surpassing expected estimates, and a year-over-year sales increase of 1.7%.

The company also reported an unexpected rise in comparable store sales of 0.6%. Despite the positive developments, TD Cowen and Piper Sandler maintain a cautious stance on ULTA's medium-term prospects, citing challenges such as increased competition and recent execution issues. However, Stifel and Deutsche Bank expressed increased confidence in ULTA's financial management and its potential for top-line growth.

These price target revisions reflect confidence in ULTA's potential to continue regaining prestige market share in the foreseeable future. The company has successfully navigated competitive pressures, particularly from Sephora's extensive expansion.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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