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BMO sees potential FCF upside for PTC stock despite FX and investment headwinds

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2024-12-12, 01:04 p/m
PTC
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On Thursday, BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on PTC Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PTC), increasing the price target to $225 from the previous $206 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. With PTC trading near $202, and commanding a market capitalization of $24.29 billion, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week high. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears to be trading above its Fair Value, with 15+ additional exclusive insights available to subscribers.

PTC Inc. has demonstrated core strength in Product Lifecycle Management (PLM), and there is noticeable momentum in its Codebeamer product. The company's impressive gross profit margin of 80.65% and steady revenue growth of 9.6% underscore its operational efficiency. Additionally, there is the potential for a positive surprise in the performance of ServiceMax in the upcoming year. ServiceMax has been an area of concern for investors regarding the pace of cross-selling, but there are now expectations of an upside. Dive deeper into PTC's financial health with a comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.

The analyst also noted the potential for a broader cyclical recovery in manufacturing end markets. This observation comes after a period of eight consecutive months with sub-50 readings from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), indicating contraction in manufacturing activity. This anticipated recovery could bode well for PTC Inc.

However, the analysis does acknowledge some challenges facing the company. Concerns about foreign exchange (FX) rates and potential headwinds that could affect Free Cash Flow (FCF) are on the radar. These factors may influence the company's financial performance over the next few quarters. Additionally, PTC Inc. is expected to make go-to-market investments in the calendar year 2025.

In justifying the new price target, the analyst pointed to higher sector-wide multiples, setting PTC's target price at a multiple of 34 times Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF) for the next twelve months (NTM).

Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 64.48, PTC commands premium valuations compared to peers in the low-teens scale, which trade at approximately 40 times FCF. This valuation suggests a belief in PTC Inc.'s growth and profitability potential relative to its industry counterparts. For a complete valuation analysis and access to advanced metrics, visit InvestingPro, where you'll find detailed insights on PTC and 1,400+ other stocks.

In other recent news, PTC Inc. has announced a collaboration with Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Volkswagen (ETR:VOWG_p) Group to enhance manufacturing software development through a generative artificial intelligence (AI) tool named Codebeamer Copilot. The tool aims to improve the efficiency of creating and managing product requirements. The company has also reported a 25% increase in free cash flow, reaching $736 million, and a 12% rise in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), hitting $2.207 billion. Furthermore, PTC announced a $2 billion share repurchase authorization.

Additionally, the company revealed that board member Janesh Moorjani has resigned due to personal reasons, effective November 29, 2024. In terms of strategic shifts, PTC is focusing on five key areas: PLM, ALM, SLM (NASDAQ:SLM), CAD, and SaaS, including hiring a new Chief Revenue Officer. For fiscal 2025, PTC projects a 9% to 10% ARR growth and free cash flow between $835 million and $850 million.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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