BofA fine-tunes estimates for Tractor Supply stock with focus on TAM expansion efforts

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2025-01-16, 07:56 a/m
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On Thursday, BofA Securities analyst Elizabeth Suzuki adjusted the price target for Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) to $53.00, up from the previous target of $44.00. Despite the increase, the analyst continues to hold an Underperform rating on the stock. The company, currently valued at $28.37 billion, trades at a P/E ratio of 25.7x, which aligns with InvestingPro analysis indicating the stock is trading above its Fair Value.

Suzuki's revision of the price target is based on a valuation of 22 times the projected 2026 earnings per share (EPS), an increase from the earlier 20 times the estimated 2025 EPS. This price-to-earnings ratio surpasses the average for Tractor Supply Company over the past 5 and 10 years. However, it remains below the historical average when compared to the S&P index. Suzuki justifies the elevated ratio, citing potential growth challenges anticipated for the company leading into 2025.

The analyst acknowledges the strategic efforts of Tractor Supply Company to navigate through these headwinds. The "Life Out Here" strategy, updated during the company's Analyst Day in December, has been designed to bolster growth as macroeconomic pressures ease.

Core components of this strategy include the continuation of ongoing projects, such as Project Fusion store remodels, enhancing the Neighbor's Club loyalty program, and further developing digital capabilities.

The company maintains strong financial health with a gross profit margin of 36.29% and has demonstrated commitment to shareholder returns, having raised its dividend for 15 consecutive years, according to InvestingPro data.

In addition to these existing initiatives, Tractor Supply Company has outlined new avenues to expand its total addressable market (TAM) and profitability. These include launching Pet & Animal Rx services, growing its Direct Sales operations, optimizing Final Mile delivery, and creating a Retail Media network.

The company's proactive approach, with a blend of current improvements and new ventures, aims to solidify its market position and drive future growth, as detailed in the "Life Out Here 2030" strategy.

In other recent news, Tractor Supply Company has seen significant developments.

The retail giant has announced a 5-for-1 stock split, increasing its authorized shares to 2 billion, a move overseen by its financial team including Executive Vice President Kurt D. Barton. Tractor Supply has also completed the acquisition of Allivet, an online pet pharmacy, a strategic move expected to present a $1 billion revenue opportunity.

In the realm of financial analysis, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities has upgraded Tractor Supply's stock rating to Outperform, citing positive trends in the pet sector and recovery from commodity price deflation. The firm also highlighted potential earnings drivers such as a growing retail media business and the effects of the Allivet acquisition. Truist Securities, despite a slight reduction in price target post-stock split, maintained a Buy rating on the stock.

Telsey Advisory Group also maintained its Outperform rating on Tractor Supply, expressing confidence in the company's long-term growth strategy. These recent developments reflect a consistent performance by Tractor Supply Company, with strategic initiatives such as the Allivet acquisition and the stock split underlining its commitment to growth and expansion.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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