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BofA starts Endava shares at neutral, sees flat growth despite digital transformation role

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2024-11-22, 06:46 a/m
DAVA
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Friday - BofA Securities has initiated coverage on Endava PLC (NYSE:DAVA), a global IT services provider, with a Neutral rating and a price target of $29.00. The firm's analyst cited Endava's position as a facilitator of digital transformation across various industries and geographies. However, the analyst noted that Endava's year-to-date performance has been underwhelming, with shares dropping approximately 64%. This decline was attributed to the company's softer growth and margin profile compared to its peers.

The report also mentioned that Endava has faced several quarters of missed execution, which has been a concern for investors. The current financial year 2025 guidance suggests that revenue growth is expected to be relatively flat. This outlook has led the analyst to take a cautious stance on the stock, labeling Endava as a "show-me story." The initiation of coverage with a Neutral rating reflects a wait-and-see approach, with the analyst looking for signs of improvement in Endava's organic constant-currency growth profile before becoming more positive on the stock.

Endava's role as a leading IT services provider is recognized, but the company's recent performance has raised questions about its growth trajectory. The analyst's comments reflect a need for Endava to demonstrate its ability to execute and grow in line with its industry peers. The establishment of the $29.00 price target indicates the analyst's expectation of where the stock could potentially move if the company starts to show the desired improvements.

The coverage initiation comes at a time when Endava's stock has been struggling in the market. The firm's neutral stance suggests that investors may also adopt a watchful perspective, awaiting tangible signs of progress from the company. Endava's future performance in the market will likely be closely watched, especially in terms of its revenue growth and margins.

In summary, BofA Securities has begun monitoring Endava with a neutral outlook and a price target that reflects a conservative expectation. The company's ability to enhance its growth profile and execution will be critical in changing analyst and investor sentiment.

In other recent news, global technology company Endava reported fiscal first-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with a revenue increase to GBP 195.1 million, largely due to the strategic acquisition of GalaxE. This move contributed to a 201.6% surge in healthcare vertical revenue and a 32.5% increase in North American market revenue. Despite these gains, the company faced a decrease in adjusted profit before tax to GBP 19.2 million, reflecting decreased operating margins, and an 8% decline in the UK market revenue.

Endava's focus on artificial intelligence and General AI capabilities was emphasized during an investor day event held in New York City. The company's leadership outlined the development of proprietary AI-based solutions and demonstrated various applications across different industry verticals. Both Needham and TD (TSX:TD) Cowen have maintained a Buy rating on Endava's shares, with Needham increasing the price target to $36 from $33 and TD Cowen raising it from $35 to $36.

Endava has also secured significant partnerships with Usoft, Mambu, and GoCardless. The company plans to leverage its expanded delivery capabilities in India and prioritize recruitment in high-demand areas such as data, AI, and cloud technologies. These are recent developments that reflect the company's ongoing growth trajectory and commitment to innovation.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement the BofA Securities analysis, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context on Endava's financial position. Despite the challenges highlighted in the article, InvestingPro Tips indicate that Endava's net income is expected to grow this year, and the company remains profitable over the last twelve months. This suggests potential for recovery, aligning with the "show-me story" narrative presented by BofA.

However, the data also reveals that Endava is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 191.22. This valuation metric, combined with the InvestingPro Tip noting that the company is trading at high EBIT and EBITDA valuation multiples, underscores the market's continued expectations for growth despite recent setbacks.

Interestingly, while the article mentions a 64% year-to-date drop in share price, InvestingPro data shows a 63.42% YTD price total return decline, corroborating the significant market value loss. On a positive note, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, indicating a stable financial position that could provide a foundation for future growth initiatives.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for Endava, which could provide valuable insights into the company's potential trajectory as it navigates its current challenges.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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