On Friday, Canaccord Genuity (TSX:CF) maintained its Hold rating on BlackBerry (TSX:BB) Limited (NYSE:BB) shares, while increasing the price target to $3.00 from the previous $2.80. The revision reflects the analyst's perspective on BlackBerry's substantial backlog for its QNX software, which is expected to provide a solid base of revenue opportunities in the future.
According to InvestingPro data, BlackBerry currently trades at $2.98 with a market capitalization of $1.75 billion, and maintains a healthy gross margin of 70%.
The analyst pointed out that while the $850 million QNX backlog is promising, there remains uncertainty regarding the timing for a significant uptick in the Internet of Things (IoT) growth for the company.
The current stance is to wait for more tangible signs of execution and profitable growth trends, especially in the Cybersecurity division, before adopting a more positive outlook on the stock. InvestingPro data shows the company's revenue declined by 22.79% in the last twelve months, though recent performance has been strong with a 10.78% return over the past week.
Despite the challenges, the analyst acknowledges that BlackBerry's management team and board have a clear long-term strategy. This strategy could potentially lead to value realization beyond the current price target.
However, the firm prefers to see more evidence of progress before changing its position on the shares. InvestingPro subscribers have access to 12 additional investment tips and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, offering deeper insights into BlackBerry's valuation and growth prospects.
BlackBerry's QNX software is widely used in automotive and other embedded systems. The company, once known for its smartphones, has pivoted to providing security-focused software and services. The current price target adjustment suggests a cautious optimism about BlackBerry's ability to capitalize on its QNX backlog in the coming years.
The analyst concluded with a note of caution, indicating a need for BlackBerry to demonstrate improvement in its Cybersecurity business and the potential for upside to current estimates. This would be necessary for a more bullish stance on the company's stock.
In other recent news, BlackBerry Limited saw an improvement in its financial outlook as estimates for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 were revised upward, following the company's third-quarter fiscal year 2025 results that exceeded expectations.
The company also reported positive earnings per share for the first time in three years. Baird, an independent financial services firm, revised its price target for BlackBerry's stock, expressing a cautiously optimistic view on the company's business.
BlackBerry has also seen significant developments with the sale of its cybersecurity unit, Cylance, to Arctic Wolf. The sale was noted as a strategic move that removed a significant uncertainty for BlackBerry's stock, according to RBC (TSX:RY) Capital. Moreover, BlackBerry successfully dismissed a lawsuit filed by former executive Neelam Sandhu, which positively influenced investor confidence.
RBC Capital and Canaccord Genuity, two financial services firms, adjusted their financial outlooks for BlackBerry. Both firms raised their price targets while maintaining a neutral outlook on the stock. BlackBerry's Q2 financial results for fiscal year 2025 exceeded expectations, reporting a total revenue of $145 million.
However, the company reported a non-GAAP operating loss of $4 million. For Q3, BlackBerry expects IoT revenue of $56 to $60 million and Cyber revenue of $86 to $90 million, aiming to achieve positive cash flow and EBITDA in Q4.
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