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Citi reiterates Buy on Autodesk stock, sees long-term growth despite transaction model

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2024-12-06, 12:18 p/m
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On Friday, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating on Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), currently trading at $308.42 with a market capitalization of $66.3 billion, maintaining a price target of $361.00. Following a series of investor meetings in Los Angeles with Autodesk's Vice President and General Manager of Manufacturing, Stephen Hooper, and Vice President of Investor Relations, Simon Mays-Smith, the focus was largely on the company's product strategies.

The discussions emphasized Autodesk's potential to increase its market share in manufacturing and the promising narrative surrounding its Generative AI (GenAI) technology. According to InvestingPro data, 16 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations upward for the upcoming period.

Citi's analysis indicates that despite the costs associated with the transition to a subscription model, Autodesk's underlying margin improvements are noteworthy, with InvestingPro data showing an impressive gross profit margin of 92%.

The financial institution believes that the company's fundamental story remains positive, highlighting the opportunities for manufacturing market share gains, the long-term benefits of GenAI, and ongoing operational efficiencies. This is reflected in InvestingPro's "GREAT" financial health rating for the company.

However, Citi also noted that the transition to a transactional model presents both opportunities and challenges that could affect Autodesk's profit and loss statements as the company approaches the fiscal year 2026. This model shift is part of the broader business strategy that Autodesk has been implementing.

Autodesk's engagement with the investment community in Los Angeles served to reinforce confidence in its strategic direction. Citi's reiterated price target of $361 reflects the firm's assessment of Autodesk's growth prospects and its ability to capitalize on technological advancements and market opportunities.

Investors and stakeholders in Autodesk continue to monitor the company's progress, particularly in light of the dynamic changes and potential impacts of the subscription model on financial outcomes. The company's focus on innovation, particularly in the manufacturing sector, is a critical component of its growth strategy moving forward, supported by an 11.5% revenue growth in the last twelve months.

For deeper insights into Autodesk's valuation and growth prospects, including exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Autodesk has seen a flurry of activity with several major financial firms adjusting their outlooks on the company.

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) increased its stock price target to $300 from $245, maintaining a Neutral rating, following Autodesk's third-quarter earnings beat. UBS initiated coverage on Autodesk with a Buy rating, citing a potential 10% or more increase in revenue due to hiring and volume expectations.

BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital Markets maintained its Market Perform rating while raising the price target to $308.00. Piper Sandler increased its price target to $311, keeping a Neutral rating. Rosenblatt Securities upgraded its price target to $325 and continued to recommend a Buy rating.

These adjustments came after Autodesk reported an 11% year-over-year increase in its recent quarterly earnings, outperforming estimates with Non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.17. The company also raised its fiscal year 2025 guidance and reiterated its fiscal year 2026 free cash flow goal of $2.05 billion. Autodesk's new transaction model is expected to contribute about $270 million to billings, adding 5.0-5.5 percentage points to the overall figures.

In addition to these financial developments, Autodesk announced the appointment of Janesh Moorjani as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective from December 16. The company aims to maintain a 10-15% growth framework over the long term and is preparing for strong free cash flow growth in fiscal 2026.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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