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Descartes stock upgrade reflects stronger growth outlook after Sellercloud acquisition

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-11-15, 03:32 a/m
DSGX
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On Friday, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Descartes Systems Group Inc (TSX:DSG). (NASDAQ:DSGX) stock rating from Underweight to Equalweight and increased the price target to $125.00 from the previous $88.00.

The revision follows the recent acquisition of Sellercloud by Descartes last month, which is anticipated to contribute to stronger fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2026 performance.

The acquisition, coupled with a shift in U.S. administration after the elections earlier this month, is expected to drive higher demand for Descartes' solutions in the medium to long term. Barclays foresees a trajectory towards mid-double-digit growth for the company in fiscal year 2026.

Barclays predicts that the market will soon see estimate revisions as the impact of the acquisition and the political change in the U.S. are integrated into financial forecasts. The new price target of $125 is based on a 40 times calendar year 2025 estimated enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) multiple, up from the previous 28 times, which positions Descartes ahead of its peers in terms of growth outlook.

The upgrade and price target adjustment reflect a more optimistic view of Descartes' future financial performance and market position. Barclays' analysis suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on current market dynamics and the strategic expansion through its recent acquisition.

In other recent news, Descartes Systems Group (NASDAQ:DSGX) has been the subject of several analyst upgrades and downgrades. Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) maintained a Sector Outperform rating on Descartes shares and increased the price target to $120, reflecting confidence in the company's robust performance.

In contrast, Barclays maintained an Underweight rating, while National Bank Financial initiated coverage with an Outperform rating, anticipating a 10-15% EBITDA growth for Descartes Systems over a 10-year horizon.

Descartes' recent financial reports reveal a 14% rise in total revenues to $163.4 million and a 17% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $70.6 million. This financial health, underscored by an estimated $140 million in cash and no debt, positions the company well for potential mergers and acquisitions.

Descartes recently acquired Sellercloud for approximately $110 million, a strategic move that Barclays views positively, suggesting an upside to Descartes' fourth-quarter numbers. The company also acquired Assure Assist, Inc., which operates as MyCarrierPortal (MCP), for $24 million, aimed at improving supply chain performance and reducing fraud risks.

Descartes plans to present new solutions at its 2024 Innovation Forum, aiming to address current logistical challenges and opportunities across various logistics sectors. These are the recent developments in Descartes Systems Group's strategic growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Descartes Systems Group's recent upgrade by Barclays is further supported by several key financial metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's impressive gross profit margin of 75.91% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025 underscores its operational efficiency, aligning with Barclays' optimistic outlook on future performance.

InvestingPro data reveals that Descartes has a market capitalization of $9.56 billion, with a P/E ratio of 74.56, indicating high investor expectations for future growth. This valuation is consistent with Barclays' increased price target and the anticipated mid-double-digit growth in fiscal year 2026.

Two InvestingPro Tips are particularly relevant to the article's context:

1. Descartes has shown a strong return over the last three months, with a 12.83% price total return, reflecting market confidence in line with Barclays' upgrade.

2. The company is trading near its 52-week high, currently at 95.5% of that level, which supports the positive sentiment expressed in the analyst's report.

These insights, along with 17 additional tips available on InvestingPro, provide a comprehensive view of Descartes' financial health and market position. Investors seeking a deeper understanding of the company's prospects may find value in exploring the full range of tips and metrics offered by InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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