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Grab rides network effects to higher profits—JPMorgan raises shares target

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-11-12, 05:44 a/m
GRAB
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On Tuesday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) updated its financial outlook for Grab Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:GRAB), revising the company's shares target upwards to $5.70 from the previous $5.00. The firm maintains its Overweight rating on the stock.

The analyst from JPMorgan highlighted the third-quarter results of 2024 as a pivotal moment, solidifying the view that Grab can capitalize on network effects to strengthen its market dominance. The results are seen as a foundation for significant upward earnings revisions, with JPMorgan's adjusted EBITDA forecast for fiscal year 2025 being 27% higher than the consensus.

According to the analyst's statement, the 3Q24 performance of Grab is expected to lead to a positive reevaluation of the company's earnings potential. The anticipation is that Grab's earnings growth will exceed market expectations, propelled by revenue increases and improved profit margins.

JPMorgan's reiteration of the Overweight rating is based on the belief in Grab's ability to continue its strong earnings trajectory. The firm's analysis suggests that the market may be underestimating the potential for Grab's earnings to grow at a rapid pace.

The upgraded price target and positive outlook reflect confidence in Grab's strategic initiatives to enhance monetization and manage expenditures effectively. This approach is anticipated to contribute to the company's ongoing success and favorable position in the market.

In other recent news, Grab Holdings has raised its annual revenue forecast for fiscal 2024 to a range of $2.76 billion to $2.78 billion, up from the previous estimate of $2.70 billion to $2.75 billion. This adjustment follows a resurgence in demand for the company's food delivery service. The company also reported a third-quarter revenue of $716 million, surpassing the analyst consensus of $700.8 million provided by Visible Alpha.

Analysts from Barclays (LON:BARC), Citi, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), and Benchmark have expressed confidence in Grab's growth strategy. Barclays maintains an Overweight rating, reflecting optimism in the recovery of the company's mobility margins and potential improvements in delivery margins.

Citi reaffirms its Buy rating and maintains a price target of $5.00, anticipating strong third-quarter 2024 results. The firm also expects Grab to exhibit a positive cash flow and achieve profitability by the third quarter of 2025.

Morgan Stanley has increased its price target for Grab Holdings, citing strong revenue growth and higher profitability as key drivers. The firm anticipates a quarter-over-quarter margin improvement in the third quarter of 2024 and expects Grab's revenue growth for 2024 to hit 17%.

Lastly, Benchmark has praised Grab's strategy to manage margin volatility and drive growth, focusing on a balanced product mix and long-term margin enhancement goals. These recent developments highlight the positive trajectory for Grab's financial health in the near future.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro aligns with JPMorgan's optimistic outlook on Grab Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:GRAB). The company's stock has shown strong performance, with a 20% return over the last month and a 34.36% return over the last three months. This upward momentum has pushed Grab's stock price to 98.65% of its 52-week high, trading at $4.38 as of the latest close.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Grab holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating a solid financial position. This aligns with JPMorgan's confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on network effects and strengthen its market dominance. Additionally, Grab's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting financial stability as it pursues growth strategies.

However, it's worth noting that according to InvestingPro Tips, analysts do not anticipate the company to be profitable this year, and it has not been profitable over the last twelve months. This information adds context to JPMorgan's focus on future earnings potential and the expectation of significant upward earnings revisions.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Grab Holdings, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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