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Griffon shares target increased, outperform rating on strong FQ4

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 2024-11-20, 08:50 a/m
GFF
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Wednesday, Baird analyst Timothy Woljs raised the stock price target on Griffon Corp (NYSE: NYSE:GFF) to $100 from the previous $92, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. This move comes in response to Griffon's robust fiscal fourth-quarter results, which sent the company's shares soaring by 18% last Wednesday.

Griffon's impressive performance in the fourth quarter was well-received by the market, especially after the company provided its initial fiscal 2025 guidance. The positive sentiment was a turnaround from prior expectations, which had been increasingly negative.

The stock's significant rise last week was attributed to strong home and building products (HBP) profitability and outlook, as well as a notable improvement in consumer and professional products (CPP) profitability.

The company's strategic approach to capital allocation is also seen as a positive factor. Griffon is actively repurchasing shares, having announced a new $400 million buyback program. Additionally, the company has guided to generating over $1 billion in free cash flow (FCF) over the next three years.

Baird's analyst believes that Griffon's stock presents an attractive risk/reward profile, citing a roughly 10% free cash flow yield. The analyst also highlighted several company-specific value drivers that support the positive outlook for the stock.

In other recent news, Griffon Corp has been making waves with its strong financial performance and strategic planning. The company's fiscal fourth-quarter results were notably robust, exceeding expectations on multiple fronts, including a significant expansion in its adjusted EBITDA margin. This growth was credited to lower material costs and the successful implementation of a global sourcing strategy, which helped counterbalance softer demand.

The financial services firm, Stephens, reflected this positive outlook by raising its price target on Griffon Corp shares to $100.00, up from the previous $85.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Griffon's management provided sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal year 2025 that was slightly below analyst estimates. However, the implied margin guidance exceeded expectations.

In further developments, Griffon Corp has projected a steady revenue stream from its Home & Building Products (HBP) segment. This is expected to contribute to a projected $1 billion in free cash flow over the next three years, set to support share repurchases, debt reduction, and strategic investments.

However, the Consumer and Professional Products (CPP) segment saw a 6% decline in revenue, despite a 44% increase in EBITDA to $73 million. These recent developments highlight Griffon Corp's strategic financial planning and its commitment to improving profitability and shareholder value.

InvestingPro Insights

Griffon Corp's recent performance and Baird's optimistic outlook are further supported by key financial metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at $3.64 billion, reflecting its substantial market presence. Griffon's P/E ratio of 17.23 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings, while its adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months is even lower at 15.23, indicating potential undervaluation.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Griffon's strong financial position and shareholder-friendly policies. The company has maintained dividend payments for 14 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. This aligns with the article's mention of Griffon's active share repurchase program and positive free cash flow outlook.

Moreover, Griffon's high return over the last year, with a one-year price total return of 65.26%, corroborates the stock's recent surge mentioned in the article. The company's liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations further supports its financial stability and ability to execute on strategic initiatives.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Griffon Corp, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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