Oppenheimer bullish on Target stock ahead of 2025 analyst day catalyst

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-11-25, 04:26 a/m
TGT
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On Monday, Oppenheimer maintained its Outperform rating on Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) stock, with a steady price target of $165.00. The firm reinstated Target to its top pick status after previously removing it in mid-October when the stock was trading around $157. This decision was influenced by concerns regarding the company's apparel clearance inventory. However, following the clearance, Oppenheimer sees a "very compelling risk/reward scenario" unfolding for Target's shares.

Oppenheimer cites several reasons for its positive outlook on Target. The firm believes that the stock is at or near a bottom and that the negative sentiment among investors could be an upside opportunity. Additionally, Oppenheimer views the company's fourth-quarter guidance as achievable and suggests that a 6% operating margin is still a realistic goal. The attractive dividend yield also offers potential support for the stock's value.

The firm is optimistic about the upcoming 2025 analyst day, which it considers could be the next significant catalyst for Target's shares. Oppenheimer's updated list of top six picks now includes Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (NYSE:CHD), Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST), Freshpet, Inc. (NASDAQ:FRPT), Sanchez Energy Corporation (NYSE:SN), Target, and Walmart Inc. (NYSE:NYSE:WMT). Additionally, Oppenheimer maintains a positive short-term call on Sprouts Farmers (NASDAQ:SFM) Market, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM).

Target's stock performance and future prospects remain a focal point for investors as the retail giant navigates through its quarterly expectations and market positioning. The endorsement from Oppenheimer reflects confidence in Target's strategic initiatives and financial outlook.

In other recent news, Target Corporation has been the subject of several financial adjustments following its third-quarter earnings report. BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital Markets lowered the company's price target to $120 from $160, citing declining store sales and challenges in digital sales and supply chain margins. TD (TSX:TD) Cowen also reduced its price target for Target from $165 to $145, maintaining a Hold rating, and suggested areas for improvement, including reversing negative trends in home, apparel, and hardlines categories.

Jefferies revised its price target for Target to $165, maintaining a Buy rating, in response to third-quarter results that fell short of expectations. Similarly, Piper Sandler adjusted its price target for Target to $130 from $156, maintaining a Neutral rating due to increased supply chain costs and a decline in discretionary sales. DA Davidson, while expressing caution about the consumer spending environment, lowered the price target for Target to $150 but maintained a Buy rating.

The adjustments come after Target's third-quarter earnings did not meet expectations set by these financial firms. Despite these revisions, Target reported some positive developments, including a 6% increase in beauty category sales, an 11% rise in digital sales, and a 50% year-to-date increase in free cash flow. These recent developments provide investors with a snapshot of Target's current financial landscape.

InvestingPro Insights

Target Corporation's recent stock performance aligns with Oppenheimer's assessment of a potential bottom. InvestingPro data shows that Target's stock has taken a significant hit, with a 19.57% decline in the past week and a 20.56% drop over the last three months. This downturn has pushed the stock near its 52-week low, trading at just 68.74% of its 52-week high.

Despite these challenges, InvestingPro Tips highlight Target's resilience and value proposition. The company has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns even in tough times. This consistency is particularly noteworthy given the current dividend yield of 3.58%, which supports Oppenheimer's view of an attractive yield providing potential stock support.

Furthermore, Target's P/E ratio of 12.89 suggests the stock may be undervalued, especially considering the company's profitability over the last twelve months. This valuation metric aligns with Oppenheimer's perspective on the compelling risk/reward scenario for Target's shares.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Target, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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