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RBC sees upside in copper stocks amid market conditions

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 2024-12-02, 09:30 a/m
BHP
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On Monday, RBC (TSX:RY) made a case for the potential growth in the copper equities market. With the current copper price at approximately $9,000 per ton and an entry point seen around $8,500 per ton, the firm anticipates an asymmetric upside for copper stocks. This outlook is based on the expectation of a shift in the largest economy's stance from dollar strength to inflationary prospects and the second largest economy stabilizing on a trusted foundation.

The analysis highlighted a short list of copper pureplay companies, evaluating their growth and margin potential against their valuation. RBC also compared the capital intensity of organic projects to that of inorganic opportunities through mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The firm suggests that miners should balance the potential returns from their organic projects with those from possible M&A activities.

Among the equities mentioned, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:NYSE:FCX) received an Outperform (OP) rating, indicating a positive outlook on the stock. Similarly, diversified miners with significant copper exposure such as BHP Group (NYSE:NYSE:BHP), Anglo American (JO:AGLJ) PLC (LSE:AAL), and Rio Tinto (LON:RIO) Group (NYSE:NYSE:RIO) were also given an Outperform rating by RBC.

According to InvestingPro, BHP currently offers a substantial 5.57% dividend yield and trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.31x, with a GOOD overall financial health score. The stock is currently trading near its 52-week low, potentially offering an attractive entry point for value investors.

The analysis by RBC reflects a broader perspective on the mining industry's performance on Wall Street. The firm's stance suggests that, given the current market conditions and future economic shifts, there is a favorable view on the copper sector, particularly for companies with strong exposure to the metal.

Investors and industry observers may find this outlook on copper equities to be a signal of confidence in the market's potential, especially considering the strategic importance of copper in various industrial applications and its role in the global economy.

For a deeper understanding of BHP's valuation and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access 10+ additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics, along with detailed Pro Research Reports that transform complex Wall Street data into actionable intelligence.

In other recent news, BHP Billiton (NYSE:BBL) has been the subject of significant developments. The company experienced robust financials and record production levels for the 2024 financial year, with key assets contributing to BHP's status as the lowest cost iron ore producer globally. Furthermore, BHP announced a final dividend of $0.74 per share, amounting to $7.4 billion in dividends for the year.

BHP, along with Vale and their joint venture Samarco, have also finalized a R$170 billion (US$31.7 billion) settlement with Brazilian authorities regarding the 2015 Mariana dam collapse in October. The Agreement was ratified by the Brazilian Supreme Court on November 6 2024.This builds on the existing remediation and compensation work performed by the Renova Foundation in Brazil which totals R$38 billion (approximately US$7.9 billion).

Moreover, Bernstein SocGen Group upgraded BHP Billiton's stock rating from Market Perform to Outperform. The firm recognized the current dip in iron prices as a favorable opportunity for investors, attributing this to BHP's long-term strategy. However, Bernstein also highlighted potential risks, including Chinese demand for iron ore and financial risks from the Samarco business.

Lastly, despite a temporary suspension of Western Australia Nickel operations, BHP is progressing with its Jansen potash project and a joint venture with Lundin Mining (OTC:LUNMF) for copper growth opportunities in Argentina. These are among the recent developments influencing BHP's trajectory.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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