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UBS resumes coverage on Teledyne stock with Buy rating on growth prospects

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 2024-12-10, 09:04 a/m
TDY
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Tuesday, UBS resumed coverage on Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:TDY), issuing a Buy rating and setting a price target of $585.00 on the stock.

The company, known for its advanced specialty sensors and instrumentation products, has been recognized for its consistent track record in compounding growth through mergers and acquisitions, leading to a steady rise in earnings per share.

Despite this performance, Teledyne's shares have been trading at a discount compared to its peers and its own historical valuations. The discount is attributed to a slowdown in organic growth for the years 2023-2024, which has been influenced by short cycle industrial weakness. Nevertheless, Teledyne has shown promising signs, such as healthy book-to-bill rates and a positive year-over-year organic sales inflection in the third quarter.

Looking ahead, UBS anticipates a rebound in short cycle activity in 2025, following two years of negative readings from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). This expected turnaround in organic growth is projected to improve investor sentiment and lead to a re-rating of the company's stock multiple.

Additionally, Teledyne's financial leverage has stabilized since the spike that followed the acquisition of FLIR Systems (NASDAQ:FLIR), reflected in a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.1 times. This normalization has allowed the company to return to its strategy of capital allocation and to continue its M&A-driven growth.

The firm's confidence in Teledyne's outlook is further bolstered by recent discretionary share repurchases and the acquisition of Excelitas Technologies, which is estimated to be approximately 3% accretive to Teledyne's earnings per share. UBS forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in sales of 5.7% from 2024 to 2026, which surpasses market expectations that are pricing in a lower single-digit percentage growth. The analysis suggests that the risk-reward ratio for Teledyne's stock is approximately 2.8:1 to the upside, indicating a favorable view of the company's future performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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