NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

Crude Oil Higher on Dollar Weakness; Demand Concerns Grow

Published 2022-09-09, 09:36 a/m
© Reuters.
USD/CAD
-
LCO
-
CL
-
NG
-
GPR
-

By Peter Nurse   

Investing.com -- Oil prices rose Friday, helped by weakness in the U.S. dollar, but are still on course for their lowest weekly close in seven months on concerns of sluggish economic growth and China’s COVID woes weighing on global demand.

By 09:20 ET (13:20 GMT), U.S. crude futures traded 2.8% higher at $85.91 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 2.9% to $91.72. 

U.S. Gasoline RBOB Futures were down 2.3% at $2.4006 a gallon.

The U.S. dollar traded sharply lower Friday, correcting following a month-long rally after it failed to make new highs in response to hawkish comments on Thursday from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

This weakness has taken the pressure off non-dollar-based importers around the world, given that the crude market, like the markets of many other commodities, is denominated in dollars.

That said, crude was still set for a second weekly decline as aggressive interest rate hikes and China's COVID-19 curbs weighed on the demand outlook.

China, the largest importer of crude in the world, announced further restrictions on internal travel this week as it attempts to battle stubborn outbreaks of the virus. 

Beijing is tightening travel restrictions for anyone entering or leaving the capital, ahead of next week’s Golden Week holiday, while Chengdu, the country’s sixth-largest city with 21 million people, remains in lockdown.

Consultancy Energy Aspects estimated that Chinese oil consumption could fall this year for the first time since 2002, by an average of 380,000 barrels a day. 

This comes just a day after the European Central Bank hiked interest rates by a jumbo 75 basis points and with the Federal Reserve expected to do something similar in just under a couple of weeks' time - moves that are likely to hit economic growth, and thus oil demand, going forward.

Another negative was Thursday’s data from the Energy Information Administration that showed a large buildup of U.S. crude inventories of 8.8 million barrels last week, creating doubts about the strength of demand from the world’s largest consumer.

However, this build is likely to have been exaggerated by the government releasing crude stockpiles from the country’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Also of interest is a meeting of European Union energy ministers, who are trying to come up with measures designed to bring down cripplingly high power and natural gas prices ahead of the coming winter.

Attention may also switch to any comments from members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, a group known as OPEC+, after its move to cut output by 100,000 barrels a day last week had very little impact on the market.

“The more recent weakness in oil prices does increase the risk that we see some form of intervention from OPEC+,” said analysts at ING, in a note. “The group made it clear that further action could be taken if they felt it was necessary, and the market is likely trading towards levels where they are starting to get a bit uncomfortable.”

The Baker Hughes rig count and the CFTC’s positioning data round off the week later.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.