👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

Crude oil soars after payrolls; strong labor market boosts sentiment

Published 2023-01-06, 09:16 a/m
© Reuters.
LCO
-
CL
-

By Peter Nurse

Investing.com -- Oil prices rose Friday after the release of the latest U.S. jobs data but remained on course for substantial weekly losses on continued concerns of a global recession in 2023.

By 08:55 ET (13:55 GMT), U.S. crude futures traded 1.5% higher at $74.78 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 1.5% to $79.83 a barrel.

The monthly official jobs report showed that 223,000 jobs were created in December, more than the 200,000 expected, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, a drop from the downwardly revised 3.6% the previous month.

Additionally, average hourly earnings slowed marginally - reflecting that job growth seems to be fastest in lower-paying entertainment and hospitality service functions.

These numbers suggest the labor market continues to defy the broader slowdown in the economy, raising hope that the U.S. economy can avoid a severe recession in the new year.

This added to the positive sentiment generated on Thursday by the higher than expected fall in U.S. distillate inventories last week, according to data from the Energy Information Administration released on Thursday, suggesting demand remained strong in the U.S., the largest consumer in the world.

That said, both benchmarks remain on course for weekly losses of over 7%, pressured by concern over the possibility of a global recession.

This followed comments earlier in the week from International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, who warned that the global economy faces a tough year in 2023, with the three main drivers of economic growth - the U.S., China, and Europe - all likely to suffer from sharply slowing growth.

A lot of the attention is focused on the Chinese economy, as it battles a surge in COVID cases after an abrupt reopening of its economy late last year.

"Chinese Covid infections are a concern for demand in the immediate term, however, the medium to long-term outlook is more constructive following the change in China's covid policy," said analysts at ING, in a note.

Saudi Arabia, the world's top crude exporter, has lowered its prices for the Arab light crude it sells to Asia to its lowest since November 2021, suggesting demand from China, in particular, has yet to rebound to levels the market is more accustomed to.

"Our oil balance starts to show a tightening in the market from the second quarter through to the end of the year, which suggests that we should see stronger prices from 2Q23 onwards," added ING.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.