WRAPUP 1-Canada housing starts unexpectedly jump, new home prices gain

By Andrea Hopkins
TORONTO, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Canadian housing starts surged
unexpectedly in September while new home prices also beat
forecasts in August, prolonging a housing boom in the country
despite signs of weakness in other parts of the economy.
Groundbreaking on new homes jumped to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 230,701 in September from a downwardly revised
214,255 in August, a report by the Canada Mortgage and Housing
Corp showed.
That puts housing starts at the highest since August 2012,
bucking forecasts for a slowing in construction to 200,000
starts, which economists have said is more in line with
demographic demand.
"In the span of about three months, Canadian homebuilding
activity has gone from a controlled simmer to a rolling boil,"
BMO Capital Markets senior economist Robert Kavcic said in a
research note.
"We probably can't sustain this level of homebuilding
activity for long before excess supply concerns start to build."
Canada's housing boom has defied predictions of a slowdown
for years, buoyed by historically low borrowing costs that have
offset slow economic growth and a technical recession in the
first half of 2015.
The Bank of Canada has cut rates twice this year to help
stimulate the resource-dependent economy amid weak oil prices.
The last time housing starts stayed well above 200,000 for a
prolonged period, the Canadian government tightened mortgage
lending rules to cool the market.
CMHC Chief Economist Bob Dugan said the projected annual
rate of new household formation is 190,000, which "underscores
the continuing need for inventory management to minimize the
number of completed but unsold units."
A separate report from Statistics Canada showed new home
prices rose by 0.3 percent in August from July on continued
strength in Ontario, the most populous of the 10 provinces. That
surpassed expectations for a 0.2 percent increase.
Compared with a year earlier, prices were up by 1.3 percent.
The Toronto and Oshawa region, which accounts for 28.8
percent of the entire Canadian market, posted a 0.6 percent
gain, advancing for a seventh month.
Prices in Vancouver, another hot market, edged up by 0.1
percent. The Alberta city of Calgary, which is sensitive to
Canada's weakened energy sector, showed no change from July.