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FOREX-Dollar losses put on hold but long-term outlook tilts to downside

Published 2020-11-25, 09:22 p/m
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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USD/CHF
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USD/CNY
-
DX
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Dollar grinds lower against many currencies

* Improving risk appetite draws funds from dollar

* Traders closely monitoring moves in yuan

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Nov 26 (Reuters) - The dollar was on the defensive on Thursday as downbeat U.S. economic data and optimism about coronavirus vaccines prompted investors to seek out riskier assets tied to global commodities and emerging markets.

The British pound traded near a more than two-month high against the dollar as investors awaited details on trade talks between Britain and the European Union this week.

The dollar's fall has been so rapid that it could rebound in the short term, market watchers said, but some investors still expect a decline over the longer term as they shift positions in expectation that the coronavirus outbreak will wane next year.

"A China-led recovery in the global economy and commodities should benefit commodities currencies," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.

"The outlook is good, but we are reaching levels where authorities might feel some concern. Other emerging market currencies with good fundamentals should benefit."

Against the euro EUR=EBS , the dollar stood at $1.1926, close to its weakest in more than two months.

Sterling GBP=D3 bought $1.3392, which is near its strongest level since Sept. 2. The pound held steady at 89.02 pence per euro EURGBP=D3 .

The dollar was little changed at 104.32 yen JPY=D3 .

Investors have rushed to riskier currencies and emerging-market assets in recent weeks after positive data on COVID-19 vaccine efficacy and signs of stability in U.S. politics, which has weighed broadly on the dollar.

Sentiment for the greenback took a hit after data on Wednesday showed weekly U.S. jobless claims rose more than expected and personal incomes fell. economists said more job losses are likely as many U.S. states reinforce restrictions on businesses to curb a spread of coronavirus infections.

The dollar index =USD against a basket of six other currencies was near the lowest in more than two months.

In Asia, trading in the dollar was subdued because U.S. financial markets are closed later on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday.

The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS rose to 6.5688 per dollar, resuming its advance toward a 29-month high set last week.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 traded near its highest since September, supported by improving risk appetite and strong Chinese demand for the commodities that Australia exports.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 traded near its strongest level in more than two years.

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Currency bid prices at 11:00 AM (0200 GMT) Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.1926

$1.1914

+0.11%

+6.38%

+1.1930

+1.1915 Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

104.3250

104.4200

+0.00%

-3.86%

+104.4150 +0.0000 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

124.41

124.43

-0.02%

+2.02%

+124.4900 +124.3600 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9074

0.9081

-0.07%

-6.22%

+0.9082

+0.9074 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3392

1.3386

+0.06%

+0.99%

+1.3397

+1.3382 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2996

1.3007

-0.12%

+0.01%

+1.3007

+1.2992 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7367

0.7365

+0.03%

+5.00%

+0.7372

+0.7362 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7005

0.7007

-0.03%

+4.10%

+0.7014

+0.7004 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

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