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Amazon Stock: +34% to +55% Upside Potential Following Friday's Collapse?

Published 2022-05-02, 07:34 a/m
© Reuters.
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By David Wagner

Investing.com -- Amazon.com Inc's (NASDAQ:AMZN) quarterly results released after the close of trading on Thursday shocked investors, resulting in a nearly 15% plunge in the stock during Friday's session.

At $2,485 at last week's close, Amazon's share price reached a level not seen for almost a year.

While Amazon's Q1 revenue was in line with expectations, earnings disappointed, with a loss per share of $7.56, compared to an expected earnings per share of $8.35.

This was the first time in 4 years that Amazon made a quarterly loss.

However, it is important to note that the loss included one-off non-operating expenses, including Amazon's investment in Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN). This means that last week's results do not reflect a sharp fall in profitability, but rather factors that should no longer influence results in the coming quarters.

The question is whether Amazon's fall on Friday is a buying opportunity. To get a start on the answer, it seems interesting to study analysts' forecasts, as well as valuation models.

Amazon collapses: Buying opportunity?

In terms of analyst recommendations, Amazon is almost unanimously a buy stock, with 51 out of 55 analysts recommending a buy, 2 with a neutral view, and only 1 with a sell recommendation.

In addition, the average 12-month target for these analysts, at $3761, represents a potential upside of over 50% from Friday's closing price.

Finally, with regard to valuation, we note that the InvestingPro Fair Value of Amazon shares, which combines several financial models, stands at $3336, or more than 34% above the current price.

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