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Analyst on Tesla : The $25k EV car exists today. BYD makes it

Published 2024-04-08, 09:04 a/m
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Analysts at Bernstein said on Monday that the $25,000 electric vehicle exists, and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) rival BYD makes it.

A report from Reuters last week claimed that Tesla had scrapped its low-cost car plans. However, shortly after, Elon Musk denied the claims, suggesting the article was a lie.

In its note, Bernstein explained that the medium-term bull case for Tesla is that the company is in a lull, awaiting the launch of its lower-cost platform that will dramatically reinvigorate growth.

In a further tweet on Friday after the close, Musk said the company will unveil its robotaxi in August.

"We see a Robotaxi unveiling on August 8 as more aspirational, akin to Tesla's Semi and Roadster announcements - and not likely to be Tesla's next model," wrote Bernstein.

Despite the Reuters report, the Model 2 is expected to start at $25,000 and debut in late 2025/26.

Bernstein added: "A lower priced platform will invariably increase Tesla's available market - our analysis suggests that a $25K sedan and $30K SUV would increase Tesla's addressable market by 100%+."

However, the firm notes that Chinese electric vehicle firm BYD offers its Seal model in China today for less than $25,000, which compares very favorably to a Model 3, and a $25,000 SUV today that compares favorably to a Model Y.

Bernstein expects competitors' offerings to get better over the next three years.

"The other challenge Tesla will likely face with the Model 2 is cannibalization of its existing (and increasingly aged) lineup," said the firm. "The upshot is that the Model 2 will invariably be a huge boost to Tesla - but perhaps not as big as investors believe."

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