Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Global sentiment improves on soft landing hopes, BofA fund manager survey shows

Published 2024-09-17, 04:54 a/m
© Reuters
NDX
-
US500
-
DJI
-

Investing.com -- Global investor sentiment has improved for the first time since June, driven by expectations of a soft economic landing as the Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut rates, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) revealed in the latest Global Fund Manager Survey (FMS).

The data shows a slight dip in cash allocation from 4.3% to 4.2%, with BofA describing investors as "nervous bulls."

The survey highlighted a marked shift in portfolios, including a noticeable rotation toward bond-sensitive sectors like utilities, which are at their highest overweight levels since 2008. In contrast, cyclicals and commodities have seen allocations plummet to a seven-year low.

BofA said 6 out of 10 surveyed fund managers believe that current monetary policy is “too restrictive,” and as much as 90% see a steeper yield curve.

Meanwhile, 79% forecast a soft landing for the global economy, although global growth expectations remain pessimistic, with 42% still predicting a weaker economy, albeit down from 47% in August.

Moreover, FMS’ risk appetite is currently sitting at an 11-month low, the survey reveals. The most crowded trade is still "long Magnificent 7," according to 46% of respondents, but interest in "shorting China stocks" and "long gold" is on the rise.

Despite concerns over China’s slowing growth, which hit a three-year low in optimism, two-thirds of respondents believe a recession is unlikely. Investors continue to favor high-quality stocks, with 70% predicting that these will outperform lower-quality equities.

The biggest risks identified by investors include a U.S. recession, with 40% viewing it as the top concern, followed by inflation, which rose to 18% as a significant threat, up from 12% in August.

Still, equity allocations remained unchanged, with utilities and banks seeing the largest overweight positions.

On the other hand, commodity allocation slumped to the lowest level since June 2017, the report shows.

In terms of style, investors expect value to outperform growth at a 10-month high, according to the survey.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.