Indian government bond yields experienced a drop, mirroring a similar trend in U.S. Treasury yields which hit a five-week low due to weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data. The Indian benchmark bond yield was at 7.3013% at 10:10 IST (23:40 ET) today, a slight decrease from the previous session's close of 7.3140%.
This movement in the bond market is largely attributed to the diminished expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, with traders predicting only a 7% chance of a U.S. rate increase in December. This has led to market uncertainty and reduced trading volumes, as investors keep an eye on the upcoming actions of central banks.
Adding to this uncertainty is the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) planned debt sale through auctions for liquidity absorption, designed to absorb liquidity worth 500 billion rupees ($6 billion). The timing of these open market bond sales has disrupted Indian bond trading volumes.
In the week ended October 27, the RBI's net sales of government bonds through screen-based trades in the secondary market were lower than the preceding week, indicating a decline in trading activity. This development comes amidst market apprehension stemming from the RBI's liquidity absorption initiative.
The exchange rate at the time was $1 = 83.1720 Indian rupees. The implications of these movements in bond yields and exchange rates will continue to impact investors and traders in both India and the U.S., with potential ripple effects on global markets.
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